
Athanasios Androutsos
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Athanasios Androutsos's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.03x the positional average in the league (1981 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 77
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 18.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €404k vs market €700k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -24% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1981 (85% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.14
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.23
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 18 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1225
- Opponent strength
- 1236
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €307k – €682k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 59 pts; league level up (+40 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -4% (IQR -21% to +9%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 14 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–189%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 64%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | Super League 1 | CM | 24 | 1981 | 85% | 2 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.23 | 1236 | 1225 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | Super League 1 | CM | 7 | 583 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.26 | 1305 | 1196 | 0.35 |
| 2024/25 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | CM | 1 | 28 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1084 | 1525 | 0.35 |
| 2022/23 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | RB | 5 | 369 | 16% | 1 | 1 | 0.49 | 0.16 | 1148 | 1446 | 0.37 |
| 2021/22 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | RB | 11 | 427 | 18% | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | 0.09 | 1195 | 1499 | 0.39 |
| 2020/21 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | RB | 11 | 638 | 27% | 1 | 3 | 0.56 | 0.19 | 1222 | 1531 | 0.39 |
| 2019/20 | APS Atromitos Athinon | Super League 1 | CM | 20 | 1198 | 51% | 3 | 0 | 0.23 | 0.27 | 1288 | 1276 | 0.46 |
| 2018/19 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | RB | 5 | 291 | 11% | 0 | 1 | 0.31 | 0.11 | 1216 | 1557 | 0.43 |
| 2017/18 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | RB | 11 | 521 | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1274 | 1484 | 0.48 |
| 2016/17 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | RB | 17 | 923 | 34% | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 1288 | 1520 | 0.44 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | 8 | 677 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | 3 | 255 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 3 | 234 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1414 |
| 2021/22 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 4 | 292 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 3 | 237 | 0 | 0 | 1414 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 2 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 1487 |
| 2020/21 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 6 | 450 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 4 | 87 | 0 | 0 | 1666 |
| 2019/20 | Kypello Elladas | APS Atromitos Athinon | 4 | 240 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 4 | 329 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 5 | 326 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1871 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1485 |
| 2016/17 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 8 | 393 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 4 | 140 | 0 | 1 | 1436 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1324 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dmytro Klyots Premier Liga · 2023 | 27 | €500k | €400k | fell |
| Nicolás Martínez Super League 1 · 2015 | 28 | €900k | €900k | flat |
| Kasper Enghardt Superliga · 2020 | 28 | €325k | €300k | flat |
| Arnaud Djoum Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 30 | €650k | €500k | fell |
| Melker Hallberg Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 28 | €500k | €700k | rose |
| Mustafa Eskihellaç Super Lig · 2024 | 27 | €1.4M | €4.0M | rose |
| Ayo Simon Okosun Superliga · 2020 | 27 | €350k | €350k | flat |
| Drey Wright Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 28 | €500k | €200k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2025 | Olympiacos | OFI Crete | Free / loan | €450k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | VfL Osnabrück | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €700k |
| 8 Jan 2024 | Olympiacos | VfL Osnabrück | Free / loan | €700k |
| 31 Jul 2020 | Atromitos | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €600k |
| 30 Aug 2019 | Olympiacos | Atromitos | Free / loan | €800k |
| 9 Sept 2015 | Olympiacos U20 | Olympiacos | Unknown | €50k |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.