
Mason Mount
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mason Mount's performance-implied value at EUR 12.9M-28.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 11.3M-29.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 9.0M-20.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.78x the positional average in the league (1017 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 8
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 89.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €21.5M vs market €25.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -45% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1017 (30% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.27
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.31
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 90 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1715
- Opponent strength
- 1582
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €9.0M – €20.8M
Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+112 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -52% (IQR -62% to -18%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1017 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Manchester United | Premier League | AM | 23 | 1017 | 30% | 3 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.31 | 1582 | 1715 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Manchester United | Premier League | AM | 17 | 621 | 18% | 1 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.28 | 1614 | 1603 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Manchester United | Premier League | AM | 14 | 514 | 15% | 1 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 1559 | 1594 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | AM | 24 | 1655 | 48% | 3 | 2 | 0.27 | 0.21 | 1533 | 1579 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | AM | 32 | 2364 | 69% | 11 | 10 | 0.80 | 0.43 | 1538 | 1737 | 1.17 |
| 2020/21 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | AM | 36 | 2894 | 85% | 6 | 6 | 0.37 | 0.31 | 1549 | 1735 | 1.19 |
| 2019/20 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | AM | 37 | 2875 | 84% | 7 | 6 | 0.41 | 0.36 | 1565 | 1653 | 1.14 |
| 2017/18 | Vitesse Arnhem | Eredivisie | CM | 29 | 2160 | 71% | 9 | 9 | 0.75 | 0.48 | 1320 | 1364 | 0.59 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Manchester United | 1 | 62 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Manchester United | 9 | 283 | 2 | 0 | 1587 |
| 2024/25 | Community Shield | Manchester United | 1 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 1893 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester United | 2 | 91 | 0 | 0 | 1560 |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Manchester United | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Chelsea FC | 9 | 438 | 0 | 4 | 1662 |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Chelsea FC | 1 | 73 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Chelsea FC | 7 | 539 | 1 | 2 | 1670 |
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Chelsea FC | 5 | 474 | 1 | 3 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Super Cup | Chelsea FC | 1 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 1689 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Chelsea FC | 11 | 761 | 2 | 2 | 1700 |
| 2020/21 | Fa Cup | Chelsea FC | 5 | 408 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Chelsea FC | 8 | 451 | 0 | 0 | 1760 |
| 2019/20 | Fa Cup | Chelsea FC | 6 | 350 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Super Cup | Chelsea FC | 1 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 1915 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Vitesse Arnhem | 6 | 367 | 0 | 0 | 1482 |
| 2017/18 | Knvb Beker | Vitesse Arnhem | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Lamela Premier League · 2019 | 27 | €18.0M | €16.0M | flat |
| Victor Wanyama Premier League · 2019 | 28 | €20.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Harry Winks Premier League · 2022 | 26 | €15.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Hakim Ziyech Premier League · 2022 | 29 | €28.0M | €9.0M | fell |
| Dele Alli Premier League · 2022 | 26 | €16.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Thomas Lemar Laliga · 2021 | 26 | €25.0M | €22.0M | flat |
| Mohamed Elneny Premier League · 2018 | 26 | €10.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Andreas Pereira Premier League · 2020 | 24 | €16.0M | €7.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Jul 2023 | Chelsea | Man Utd | €67.7M | €60.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Chelsea U23 | Chelsea | Unknown | €12.0M |
| 31 May 2019 | Derby | Chelsea U23 | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 17 Jul 2018 | Chelsea U23 | Derby | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Vitesse | Chelsea U23 | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 24 Jul 2017 | Chelsea U23 | Vitesse | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Chelsea U18 | Chelsea U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Chelsea Youth | Chelsea U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.