Mason Mount

27 yrs · Attacking midfielder (also CM) · England
Manchester United · Premier League · Foot: right · Height: 181 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€25.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€11.3M – €29.9M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€12.9M – €28.7M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€9.0M – €20.8M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€17.0M – €17.4M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€11.3M – €29.9M
Model value (performance-implied)€12.9M – €28.7M
Projected value (24 months)€9.0M – €20.8M
Dashed line: current market value (€25.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Mason Mount's performance-implied value at EUR 12.9M-28.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 11.3M-29.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 9.0M-20.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.78x the positional average in the league (1017 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 8

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh89.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral27.5 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €21.5M vs market €25.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-45% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 1.3
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €75.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1017 (30% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.27
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.31
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
90 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
1.30 (rank 1)
Team strength (Elo)
1715
Opponent strength
1582
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€9.0M – €20.8M

Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+112 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -52% (IQR -62% to -18%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1017 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Manchester UnitedPremier LeagueAM23101730%300.270.31158217151.30
2024/25Manchester UnitedPremier LeagueAM1762118%100.140.28161416031.23
2023/24Manchester UnitedPremier LeagueAM1451415%100.180.24155915941.14
2022/23Chelsea FCPremier LeagueAM24165548%320.270.21153315791.23
2021/22Chelsea FCPremier LeagueAM32236469%11100.800.43153817371.17
2020/21Chelsea FCPremier LeagueAM36289485%660.370.31154917351.19
2019/20Chelsea FCPremier LeagueAM37287584%760.410.36156516531.14
2017/18Vitesse ArnhemEredivisieCM29216071%990.750.48132013640.59

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Fa CupManchester United16200—
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueManchester United9283201587
2024/25Community ShieldManchester United158001893
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueManchester United291001560
2023/24Fa CupManchester United21600—
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueChelsea FC9438041662
2022/23Fa CupChelsea FC17300—
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueChelsea FC7539121670
2021/22Fa CupChelsea FC547413—
2021/22Uefa Super CupChelsea FC155001689
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueChelsea FC11761221700
2020/21Fa CupChelsea FC540810—
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueChelsea FC8451001760
2019/20Fa CupChelsea FC635010—
2019/20Uefa Super CupChelsea FC146001915
2017/18Uefa Europa LeagueVitesse Arnhem6367001482
2017/18Knvb BekerVitesse Arnhem112000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Erik Lamela
Premier League · 2019
27€18.0M€16.0Mflat
Victor Wanyama
Premier League · 2019
28€20.0M€8.0Mfell
Harry Winks
Premier League · 2022
26€15.0M€12.0Mfell
Hakim Ziyech
Premier League · 2022
29€28.0M€9.0Mfell
Dele Alli
Premier League · 2022
26€16.0M€5.0Mfell
Thomas Lemar
Laliga · 2021
26€25.0M€22.0Mflat
Mohamed Elneny
Premier League · 2018
26€10.0M€5.0Mfell
Andreas Pereira
Premier League · 2020
24€16.0M€7.5Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
5 Jul 2023ChelseaMan Utd€67.7M€60.0M
1 Jul 2019Chelsea U23ChelseaUnknown€12.0M
31 May 2019DerbyChelsea U23Free / loan€10.0M
17 Jul 2018Chelsea U23DerbyFree / loan€4.0M
30 Jun 2018VitesseChelsea U23Free / loan€4.0M
24 Jul 2017Chelsea U23VitesseFree / loan€400k
1 Jul 2016Chelsea U18Chelsea U23UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Chelsea YouthChelsea U18UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.