Loren Morón

The model rates Loren Morón's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-1.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.63x the positional average in the league (1750 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1750 (75% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.26

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.32

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

39 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.42 (rank 16)

Team strength (Elo)

1255

Opponent strength

1227

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€390k – €1.3M

Trajectory drivers: league level up (+40 Elo); relative output down 41% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -58% (IQR -62% to -48%).

• ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠Limited sample: 1750 league minutes last season.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
• ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

19 (ATT)

Relative output kept

99%–112%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

47%

Confidence

Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.