
Jordan
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jordan's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.70x the positional average in the league (1239 minutes, league coefficient 0.58). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 56
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 26.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €575k vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -48% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.58 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1239 (41% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.07
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.35
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 26 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.58 (rank 9)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1194
- Opponent strength
- 1323
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €462k – €1.3M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-189 Elo); league level down (-129 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -47% (IQR -70% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1239 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 58 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 71%–130%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 66%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | CD Tondela | Liga Portugal | ST | 22 | 1239 | 40% | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.35 | 1323 | 1194 | 0.58 |
| 2024/25 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | ST | 18 | 907 | 30% | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.28 | 1451 | 1394 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | Stade Reims | Ligue 1 | ST | 7 | 384 | 13% | 1 | 0 | 0.23 | 0.47 | 1423 | 1357 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | ST | 25 | 1424 | 47% | 5 | 4 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 1515 | 1435 | 1.01 |
| 2023/24 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | ST | 1 | 26 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 1318 | 1431 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | ST | 31 | 1356 | 44% | 4 | 3 | 0.46 | 0.42 | 1526 | 1587 | 1.04 |
| 2019/20 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | ST | 14 | 435 | 17% | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | 0.36 | 1389 | 1507 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | ST | 15 | 600 | 18% | 3 | 1 | 0.60 | 0.56 | 1462 | 1488 | 0.82 |
| 2015/16 | Stade Reims | Ligue 1 | ST | 25 | 833 | 24% | 3 | 3 | 0.65 | 0.68 | 1418 | 1333 | 0.78 |
| 2014/15 | Stade Reims | Ligue 1 | ST | 1 | 23 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.48 | 1350 | 1359 | 0.80 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 2 | 170 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2 | 155 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | 1.FC Union Berlin | 8 | 400 | 0 | 0 | 1536 |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 3 | 198 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Stade Rennais FC | 5 | 196 | 0 | 0 | 1561 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Stade Rennais FC | 3 | 184 | 1 | 0 | 1436 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deniz Yilmaz Super Lig · 2017 | 29 | €1.3M | €150k | fell |
| Gustavo Sauer Super Lig · 2024 | 31 | €1.4M | €1.4M | flat |
| Mikael Dahlberg Super League 1 · 2014 | 29 | €600k | €200k | fell |
| Derley Liga Portugal · 2018 | 31 | €600k | €400k | fell |
| Ruslan Fomin Premier Liga · 2015 | 29 | €700k | €300k | fell |
| Marco Matias Liga Portugal · 2020 | 31 | €550k | €125k | fell |
| Guilherme Schettine Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €700k | €1.5M | rose |
| Kevin Lasagna Super Lig · 2024 | 32 | €950k | €950k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Tondela | Stade Reims | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 1 Sept 2025 | Stade Reims | Tondela | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 3 Feb 2025 | Union Berlin | Stade Reims | €4.5M | €3.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Mönchengladbach | Union Berlin | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 31 Aug 2023 | Union Berlin | Mönchengladbach | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Young Boys | Union Berlin | €6.0M | €7.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Stade Rennais | Young Boys | €2.5M | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Young Boys | Stade Rennais | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 12 Sept 2020 | Stade Rennais | Young Boys | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Stade Reims | Stade Rennais | €9.0M | €2.5M |
| 30 Jun 2017 | LB Châteauroux | Stade Reims | Free / loan | €850k |
| 26 Jan 2017 | Stade Reims | LB Châteauroux | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Stade Reims B | Stade Reims | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Stade Reims U19 | Stade Reims B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Stade Reims U17 | Stade Reims U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Reims Yth. | Stade Reims U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.