
Daichi Kamada
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Daichi Kamada's performance-implied value at EUR 11.2M-18.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.6M-7.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.8M-6.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.42x the positional average in the league (1909 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 40
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 93.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €3.4M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -54% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1909 (56% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.05
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.09
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 93 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1589
- Opponent strength
- 1591
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.8M – €6.8M
Trajectory drivers: role change AM -> CM.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -55% (IQR -73% to -44%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Crystal Palace | Premier League | CM | 28 | 1909 | 56% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 1591 | 1589 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Crystal Palace | Premier League | AM | 34 | 1553 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1585 | 1620 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. | Serie A | CM | 29 | 1542 | 45% | 2 | 2 | 0.23 | 0.19 | 1466 | 1580 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | CM | 32 | 2271 | 74% | 9 | 7 | 0.63 | 0.39 | 1506 | 1541 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | AM | 32 | 2145 | 70% | 4 | 3 | 0.29 | 0.24 | 1489 | 1594 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | AM | 32 | 2375 | 78% | 5 | 13 | 0.68 | 0.52 | 1532 | 1602 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | AM | 28 | 1972 | 64% | 2 | 6 | 0.37 | 0.32 | 1494 | 1535 | 1.06 |
| 2018/19 | Sint-Truidense VV | Jupiler Pro League | SS | 24 | 1898 | 70% | 12 | 2 | 0.66 | 0.57 | 1366 | 1381 | 0.65 |
| 2017/18 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | SS | 3 | 145 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.49 | 1511 | 1479 | 1.04 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Japan | 3 | 254 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Crystal Palace | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1250 |
| 2025/26 | Community Shield | Crystal Palace | 1 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1800 |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Crystal Palace | 5 | 380 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. | 7 | 256 | 0 | 0 | 1644 |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. | 2 | 99 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 700 | 3 | 0 | 1680 |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 394 | 4 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Super Cup | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1829 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 13 | 1109 | 5 | 1 | 1561 |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 150 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 10 | 738 | 6 | 2 | 1619 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 386 | 0 | 1 | 1344 |
| 2019/20 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 286 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 73 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oriol Romeu Premier League · 2020 | 29 | €8.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Tomás Pina Laliga · 2016 | 29 | €3.5M | €1.8M | fell |
| Ruben Loftus-Cheek Premier League · 2023 | 27 | €25.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Francis Coquelin Laliga · 2020 | 29 | €19.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Enzo Pérez Laliga · 2016 | 30 | €14.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| José Alberto Cañas Laliga · 2015 | 28 | €4.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Will Hughes Premier League · 2024 | 29 | €9.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Allan Premier League · 2021 | 30 | €22.0M | €6.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Lazio | Crystal Palace | Free / loan | €18.0M |
| 4 Aug 2023 | Frankfurt | Lazio | Free / loan | €27.0M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Sint-Truiden | Frankfurt | Free / loan | €4.5M |
| 31 Aug 2018 | Frankfurt | Sint-Truiden | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Sagan Tosu | Frankfurt | €1.6M | €750k |
| 1 Feb 2015 | Higashiyama HS | Sagan Tosu | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.