Daichi Kamada

30 yrs · Attacking midfielder (also CM, SS) · Japan
Crystal Palace · Premier League · Foot: right · Height: 180 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€10.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€2.6M – €7.9M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€11.2M – €18.6M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€2.8M – €6.8M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€3.3M – €16.1M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€2.6M – €7.9M
Model value (performance-implied)€11.2M – €18.6M
Projected value (24 months)€2.8M – €6.8M
Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Daichi Kamada's performance-implied value at EUR 11.2M-18.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.6M-7.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.8M-6.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.42x the positional average in the league (1909 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 40

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceElite93.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable29.9 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €3.4M vs market €10.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-54% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 1.3
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €30.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1909 (56% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.05
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.09
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
93 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
1.30 (rank 1)
Team strength (Elo)
1589
Opponent strength
1591
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€2.8M – €6.8M

Trajectory drivers: role change AM -> CM.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -55% (IQR -73% to -44%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Crystal PalacePremier LeagueCM28190956%010.050.09159115891.30
2024/25Crystal PalacePremier LeagueAM34155345%000.000.14158516201.23
2023/24Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A.Serie ACM29154245%220.230.19146615800.98
2022/23Eintracht FrankfurtBundesligaCM32227174%970.630.39150615411.04
2021/22Eintracht FrankfurtBundesligaAM32214570%430.290.24148915941.05
2020/21Eintracht FrankfurtBundesligaAM32237578%5130.680.52153216021.06
2019/20Eintracht FrankfurtBundesligaAM28197264%260.370.32149415351.06
2018/19Sint-Truidense VVJupiler Pro LeagueSS24189870%1220.660.57136613810.65
2017/18Eintracht FrankfurtBundesligaSS31455%000.000.49151114791.04

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26World CupJapan325420—
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingCrystal Palace190001250
2025/26Community ShieldCrystal Palace129001800
2024/25Fa CupCrystal Palace538001—
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueSocietà Sportiva Lazio S.p.A.7256001644
2023/24Italy CupSocietà Sportiva Lazio S.p.A.29900—
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueEintracht Frankfurt8700301680
2022/23Dfb PokalEintracht Frankfurt639440—
2022/23Uefa Super CupEintracht Frankfurt190001829
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueEintracht Frankfurt131109511561
2021/22Dfb PokalEintracht Frankfurt19000—
2020/21Dfb PokalEintracht Frankfurt215000—
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueEintracht Frankfurt10738621619
2019/20Uefa Europa League QualifyingEintracht Frankfurt6386011344
2019/20Dfb PokalEintracht Frankfurt428620—
2017/18Dfb PokalEintracht Frankfurt17300—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Oriol Romeu
Premier League · 2020
29€8.0M€5.0Mfell
Tomás Pina
Laliga · 2016
29€3.5M€1.8Mfell
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
Premier League · 2023
27€25.0M€10.0Mfell
Francis Coquelin
Laliga · 2020
29€19.0M€5.0Mfell
Enzo Pérez
Laliga · 2016
30€14.0M€2.5Mfell
José Alberto Cañas
Laliga · 2015
28€4.5M€2.5Mfell
Will Hughes
Premier League · 2024
29€9.0M€5.0Mfell
Allan
Premier League · 2021
30€22.0M€6.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2024LazioCrystal PalaceFree / loan€18.0M
4 Aug 2023FrankfurtLazioFree / loan€27.0M
30 Jun 2019Sint-TruidenFrankfurtFree / loan€4.5M
31 Aug 2018FrankfurtSint-TruidenFree / loan€1.0M
1 Jul 2017Sagan TosuFrankfurt€1.6M€750k
1 Feb 2015Higashiyama HSSagan TosuFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.