Borja González
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Borja González's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 82
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 18.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €151k vs market €500k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -31% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1176 (50% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.38
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.31
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 19 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1225
- Opponent strength
- 1208
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €207k – €462k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 31 pts; league level up (+40 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -19% (IQR -49% to -13%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1176 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | Super League 1 | RB | 17 | 1176 | 50% | 1 | 4 | 0.38 | 0.31 | 1208 | 1225 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | Super League 1 | RB | 23 | 1900 | 81% | 4 | 6 | 0.47 | 0.38 | 1261 | 1196 | 0.35 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | 7 | 401 | 2 | 2 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | 6 | 540 | 1 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Abarhoun Super Lig · 2020 | 31 | €725k | €650k | flat |
| Aaron Meijers Eredivisie · 2017 | 30 | €750k | €850k | flat |
| Nicolai Geertsen Superliga · 2021 | 30 | €250k | €200k | fell |
| Jesper Juelsgaard Superliga · 2018 | 29 | €350k | €300k | flat |
| Ricki Lamie Scottish Premiership · 2022 | 29 | €400k | €325k | flat |
| Michael Lumb Superliga · 2019 | 31 | €350k | €200k | fell |
| Benoît Poulain Super Lig · 2020 | 33 | €800k | €150k | fell |
| Joe Shaughnessy Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 31 | €400k | €150k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Burgos CF | OFI Crete | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | R. Majadahonda | Burgos CF | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Las Rozas CF | R. Majadahonda | Free / loan | €200k |
| 24 Jul 2019 | San Luis | Las Rozas CF | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2019 | UD Sanse | San Luis | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jan 2019 | San Luis | UD Sanse | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Atl. Madrileño | San Luis | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Feb 2015 | CA Pinto | Atl. Madrileño | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Rayo U19 | CA Pinto | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Rayo Youth | Rayo U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.