
Florentino
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Florentino's performance-implied value at EUR 8.3M-23.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 8.3M-20.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.7M-13.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.03x the positional average in the league (2149 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 9
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 85th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €14.9M vs market €16.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -40% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2149 (63% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.08
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.13
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 85 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1347
- Opponent strength
- 1619
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €6.7M – €13.6M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-284 Elo); league level up (+287 Elo); relative output up 55% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -39% (IQR -60% to +8%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Burnley FC | Premier League | DM | 31 | 2114 | 62% | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 1619 | 1343 | 1.30 |
| 2025/26 | SL Benfica | Liga Portugal | DM | 3 | 35 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1220 | 1634 | 0.58 |
| 2024/25 | SL Benfica | Liga Portugal | DM | 26 | 1972 | 64% | 2 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.09 | 1347 | 1632 | 0.51 |
| 2023/24 | SL Benfica | Liga Portugal | DM | 30 | 1683 | 55% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1360 | 1603 | 0.58 |
| 2022/23 | SL Benfica | Liga Portugal | DM | 33 | 2124 | 69% | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | 0.07 | 1362 | 1718 | 0.68 |
| 2021/22 | Getafe CF | Laliga | DM | 22 | 986 | 29% | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.16 | 1543 | 1458 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | DM | 9 | 238 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1431 | 1549 | 0.75 |
| 2019/20 | SL Benfica | Liga Portugal | DM | 10 | 745 | 24% | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.08 | 1383 | 1583 | 0.59 |
| 2018/19 | SL Benfica | Liga Portugal | DM | 11 | 841 | 27% | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.07 | 1324 | 1683 | 0.65 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | SL Benfica | 3 | 111 | 1 | 0 | 1507 |
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Burnley FC | 2 | 105 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Supercup Candido De Oliveira | SL Benfica | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1610 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | SL Benfica | 9 | 717 | 0 | 0 | 1649 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | SL Benfica | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | 1549 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | SL Benfica | 3 | 111 | 0 | 0 | 1738 |
| 2023/24 | Supercup Candido De Oliveira | SL Benfica | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1744 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | SL Benfica | 10 | 861 | 0 | 0 | 1593 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | SL Benfica | 4 | 340 | 0 | 0 | 1475 |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | Getafe CF | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | SL Benfica | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1570 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | SL Benfica | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1629 |
| 2019/20 | Supercup Candido De Oliveira | SL Benfica | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1634 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | SL Benfica | 3 | 238 | 0 | 0 | 1521 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Michaël Seri Premier League · 2019 | 28 | €25.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Harrison Reed Premier League · 2021 | 26 | €10.0M | €18.0M | rose |
| Josh Cullen Premier League · 2024 | 28 | €10.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| John Lundstram Premier League · 2021 | 27 | €7.0M | €7.5M | flat |
| Josh Brownhill Premier League · 2024 | 29 | €15.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Ryan Yates Premier League · 2023 | 26 | €11.0M | €12.0M | flat |
| Okay Yokuşlu Premier League · 2021 | 27 | €7.5M | €3.0M | fell |
| Bobby De Cordova-Reid Premier League · 2021 | 28 | €10.0M | €7.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Burnley | Benfica | Free / loan | €16.0M |
| 1 Sept 2025 | Benfica | Burnley | Free / loan | €22.0M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Getafe | Benfica | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 31 Aug 2021 | Benfica | Getafe | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Monaco | Benfica | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 25 Sept 2020 | Benfica | Monaco | Free / loan | €18.0M |
| 1 Jan 2019 | Benfica B | Benfica | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Benfica U19 | Benfica B | Unknown | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Benfica U17 | Benfica U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Benfica U15 | Benfica U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Benfica Yth | Benfica U15 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Real Formação | Benfica Yth | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.