Florentino

27 yrs · Defensive midfielder · Portugal
Burnley FC · Premier League · Foot: right · Height: 184 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€16.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€8.3M – €20.0M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€8.3M – €23.5M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€6.7M – €13.6M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€11.6M – €15.2M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€8.3M – €20.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€8.3M – €23.5M
Projected value (24 months)€6.7M – €13.6M
Dashed line: current market value (€16.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Florentino's performance-implied value at EUR 8.3M-23.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 8.3M-20.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.7M-13.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.03x the positional average in the league (2149 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: 9

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh85th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.9 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €14.9M vs market €16.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-40% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 1.3
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €22.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2149 (63% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.08
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.13
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
85 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
1.30 (rank 1)
Team strength (Elo)
1347
Opponent strength
1619
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€6.7M – €13.6M

Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-284 Elo); league level up (+287 Elo); relative output up 55% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -39% (IQR -60% to +8%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Burnley FCPremier LeagueDM31211462%020.090.13161913431.30
2025/26SL BenficaLiga PortugalDM3351%000.000.06122016340.58
2024/25SL BenficaLiga PortugalDM26197264%210.140.09134716320.51
2023/24SL BenficaLiga PortugalDM30168355%000.000.03136016030.58
2022/23SL BenficaLiga PortugalDM33212469%030.130.07136217180.68
2021/22Getafe CFLaligaDM2298629%010.090.16154314581.05
2020/21AS MonacoLigue 1DM92387%000.000.10143115490.75
2019/20SL BenficaLiga PortugalDM1074524%010.120.08138315830.59
2018/19SL BenficaLiga PortugalDM1184127%100.110.07132416830.65

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions League QualifyingSL Benfica3111101507
2025/26Fa CupBurnley FC210500—
2025/26Supercup Candido De OliveiraSL Benfica110001610
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueSL Benfica9717001649
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueSL Benfica4390001549
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueSL Benfica3111001738
2023/24Supercup Candido De OliveiraSL Benfica120001744
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueSL Benfica10861001593
2022/23Uefa Champions League QualifyingSL Benfica4340001475
2021/22Copa Del ReyGetafe CF218001—
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueSL Benfica2180001570
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueSL Benfica190001629
2019/20Supercup Candido De OliveiraSL Benfica190001634
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueSL Benfica3238001521

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Jean Michaël Seri
Premier League · 2019
28€25.0M€4.0Mfell
Harrison Reed
Premier League · 2021
26€10.0M€18.0Mrose
Josh Cullen
Premier League · 2024
28€10.0M€4.0Mfell
John Lundstram
Premier League · 2021
27€7.0M€7.5Mflat
Josh Brownhill
Premier League · 2024
29€15.0M€8.0Mfell
Ryan Yates
Premier League · 2023
26€11.0M€12.0Mflat
Okay Yokuşlu
Premier League · 2021
27€7.5M€3.0Mfell
Bobby De Cordova-Reid
Premier League · 2021
28€10.0M€7.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2026BurnleyBenficaFree / loan€16.0M
1 Sept 2025BenficaBurnleyFree / loan€22.0M
30 Jun 2022GetafeBenficaFree / loan€5.0M
31 Aug 2021BenficaGetafeFree / loan€10.0M
30 Jun 2021MonacoBenficaFree / loan€10.0M
25 Sept 2020BenficaMonacoFree / loan€18.0M
1 Jan 2019Benfica BBenficaUnknown€1.0M
1 Jul 2017Benfica U19Benfica BUnknown€350k
1 Jul 2016Benfica U17Benfica U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2014Benfica U15Benfica U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Benfica YthBenfica U15UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2010Real FormaçãoBenfica YthUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.