
Okay Yokuşlu
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Okay Yokuşlu's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-1.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-0.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.06x the positional average in the league (883 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 43.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €373k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -51% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 883 (29% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.10
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.13
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 43 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1368
- Opponent strength
- 1247
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €387k – €911k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 22 pts; team strength up (+61 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -53% (IQR -59% to -50%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 883 league minutes last season.
- ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 35 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–144%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | DM | 22 | 883 | 29% | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 1247 | 1368 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | DM | 23 | 1654 | 51% | 1 | 2 | 0.16 | 0.13 | 1296 | 1307 | 0.39 |
| 2021/22 | Getafe CF | Laliga | DM | 11 | 463 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1528 | 1458 | 1.05 |
| 2021/22 | Celta de Vigo | Laliga | DM | 8 | 133 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1553 | 1499 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | West Bromwich Albion | Premier League | DM | 16 | 1319 | 39% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.12 | 1571 | 1377 | 1.19 |
| 2020/21 | Celta de Vigo | Laliga | DM | 12 | 455 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1535 | 1535 | 1.10 |
| 2019/20 | Celta de Vigo | Laliga | DM | 26 | 1976 | 58% | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 1538 | 1479 | 1.16 |
| 2018/19 | Celta de Vigo | Laliga | DM | 30 | 2203 | 64% | 2 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 1547 | 1494 | 1.14 |
| 2017/18 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | DM | 30 | 2652 | 87% | 2 | 3 | 0.17 | 0.14 | 1380 | 1432 | 0.68 |
| 2016/17 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | CM | 29 | 2325 | 76% | 2 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.21 | 1379 | 1382 | 0.62 |
| 2015/16 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | CM | 27 | 2106 | 69% | 2 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 1417 | 1320 | 0.64 |
| 2013/14 | Kayserispor | Super Lig | CM | 25 | 911 | 30% | 1 | 1 | 0.20 | 0.25 | 1463 | 1336 | 0.78 |
| 2012/13 | Kayserispor | Super Lig | DM | 24 | 637 | 21% | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 1398 | 1498 | 0.89 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Trabzonspor | 2 | 152 | 0 | 0 | 1443 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Trabzonspor | 2 | 107 | 0 | 0 | 1483 |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | Celta de Vigo | 1 | 60 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | Celta de Vigo | 2 | 153 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Copa Del Rey | Celta de Vigo | 2 | 146 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Trabzonspor | 2 | 101 | 1 | 0 | 1359 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Bertolacci Super Lig · 2023 | 32 | €1.3M | €400k | fell |
| Facundo Bertoglio Super League 1 · 2022 | 32 | €700k | €250k | fell |
| Roman Bezus Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 32 | €1.5M | €700k | fell |
| Filip Djuricic Super League 1 · 2024 | 32 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Petros Mantalos Super League 1 · 2023 | 32 | €2.5M | €1.2M | fell |
| Youssouf Mulumbu Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 32 | €750k | €325k | fell |
| Yevgen Shakhov Super League 1 · 2022 | 32 | €600k | €300k | fell |
| Thomas Kahlenberg Superliga · 2016 | 33 | €600k | €300k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2024 | West Brom | Trabzonspor | €1.6M | €3.0M |
| 18 Jul 2022 | Celta de Vigo | West Brom | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Getafe | Celta de Vigo | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 26 Jan 2022 | Celta de Vigo | Getafe | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | West Brom | Celta de Vigo | Free / loan | €7.5M |
| 1 Feb 2021 | Celta de Vigo | West Brom | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Trabzonspor | Celta de Vigo | €6.0M | €7.5M |
| 8 Jul 2015 | Kayserispor | Trabzonspor | €2.0M | €4.0M |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Altay SK | Kayserispor | €1.0M | €1.3M |
| 14 Jan 2010 | Altay SK Yth | Altay SK | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 16 Mar 2006 | Karsiyaka Yth | Altay SK Yth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.