Okay Yokuşlu

32 yrs · Defensive midfielder (also CM) · Türkiye
Trabzonspor · Super Lig · Foot: right · Height: 190 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€1.2M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€280k – €934k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€340k – €1.9M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€387k – €911k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€594k – €1.6M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€280k – €934k
Model value (performance-implied)€340k – €1.9M
Projected value (24 months)€387k – €911k
Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Okay Yokuşlu's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-1.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-0.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.06x the positional average in the league (883 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceAverage43.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable32.3 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €373k vs market €1.2M
Expected appreciationVery low-51% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €12.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
883 (29% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.10
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.13
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
43 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1368
Opponent strength
1247
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€387k – €911k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 22 pts; team strength up (+61 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -53% (IQR -59% to -50%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Small sample: 883 league minutes last season.
  • ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
35 (MID)
Relative output kept
77%–144%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
69%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26TrabzonsporSuper LigDM2288329%100.100.13124713680.40
2024/25TrabzonsporSuper LigDM23165451%120.160.13129613070.39
2021/22Getafe CFLaligaDM1146314%000.000.11152814581.05
2021/22Celta de VigoLaligaDM81334%000.000.14155314991.05
2020/21West Bromwich AlbionPremier LeagueDM16131939%010.070.12157113771.19
2020/21Celta de VigoLaligaDM1245513%000.000.11153515351.10
2019/20Celta de VigoLaligaDM26197658%020.090.13153814791.16
2018/19Celta de VigoLaligaDM30220364%200.080.11154714941.14
2017/18TrabzonsporSuper LigDM30265287%230.170.14138014320.68
2016/17TrabzonsporSuper LigCM29232576%220.150.21137913820.62
2015/16TrabzonsporSuper LigCM27210669%200.090.13141713200.64
2013/14KayserisporSuper LigCM2591130%110.200.25146313360.78
2012/13KayserisporSuper LigDM2463721%010.140.15139814980.89

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2024/25Uefa Conference League QualifyingTrabzonspor2152001443
2024/25Uefa Europa League QualifyingTrabzonspor2107001483
2021/22Copa Del ReyCelta de Vigo16000—
2020/21Copa Del ReyCelta de Vigo215300—
2018/19Copa Del ReyCelta de Vigo214600—
2015/16Uefa Europa League QualifyingTrabzonspor2101101359

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Andrea Bertolacci
Super Lig · 2023
32€1.3M€400kfell
Facundo Bertoglio
Super League 1 · 2022
32€700k€250kfell
Roman Bezus
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
32€1.5M€700kfell
Filip Djuricic
Super League 1 · 2024
32€1.5M€800kfell
Petros Mantalos
Super League 1 · 2023
32€2.5M€1.2Mfell
Youssouf Mulumbu
Scottish Premiership · 2019
32€750k€325kfell
Yevgen Shakhov
Super League 1 · 2022
32€600k€300kfell
Thomas Kahlenberg
Superliga · 2016
33€600k€300kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
31 Jul 2024West BromTrabzonspor€1.6M€3.0M
18 Jul 2022Celta de VigoWest BromFree / loan€3.0M
30 Jun 2022GetafeCelta de VigoFree / loan€3.0M
26 Jan 2022Celta de VigoGetafeFree / loan€3.5M
30 Jun 2021West BromCelta de VigoFree / loan€7.5M
1 Feb 2021Celta de VigoWest BromFree / loan€4.0M
1 Jul 2018TrabzonsporCelta de Vigo€6.0M€7.5M
8 Jul 2015KayserisporTrabzonspor€2.0M€4.0M
1 Jul 2011Altay SKKayserispor€1.0M€1.3M
14 Jan 2010Altay SK YthAltay SKUnknownData unavailable
16 Mar 2006Karsiyaka YthAltay SK YthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.