Marcos Peano
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Marcos Peano's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-3.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 58
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 38.5th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.6M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -14% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2700 (100% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 39 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1297
- Opponent strength
- 1378
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €904k – €3.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -41% (IQR -56% to +18%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 214 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–140%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | RAAL La Louvière | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 30 | 2700 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1378 | 1296 | 0.65 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Relegation Play Offs | RAAL La Louvière | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1284 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cláudio Ramos Liga Portugal · 2019 | 28 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Mauro Goicoechea Liga Portugal · 2015 | 27 | €1.7M | €800k | fell |
| Marafona Liga Portugal · 2015 | 28 | €1.3M | €2.5M | rose |
| Giorgi Makaridze Liga Portugal · 2017 | 27 | €1.5M | €700k | fell |
| Léo Jardim Liga Portugal · 2021 | 26 | €3.0M | €3.0M | flat |
| Harun Tekin Super Lig · 2018 | 29 | €2.5M | €800k | fell |
| Alexei Koselev Eredivisie · 2020 | 27 | €1.6M | €600k | fell |
| Hendrik Van Crombrugge Jupiler Pro League · 2019 | 26 | €2.5M | €6.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Instituto ACC | La Louvière | Free / loan | €350k |
| 4 Jan 2024 | Atl. Rafaela | Instituto ACC | Free / loan | €400k |
| 16 Jan 2023 | Unión Santa Fe | Atl. Rafaela | Free / loan | €225k |
| 31 Dec 2022 | Defensa | Unión Santa Fe | Free / loan | €225k |
| 5 Feb 2022 | Unión Santa Fe | Defensa | Free / loan | €250k |
| 31 Dec 2021 | Def. Belgrano | Unión Santa Fe | Free / loan | €250k |
| 12 Feb 2021 | Unión Santa Fe | Def. Belgrano | Free / loan | €275k |
| 12 Jun 2019 | Unión II | Unión Santa Fe | Unknown | €250k |
| 1 Jan 2015 | CA Unión U20 | Unión II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.