Fousseni Diabaté

30 yrs · Right winger (also AM, LW) · Mali
Kasimpasa · Super Lig · Foot: left · Height: 178 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€800k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€176k – €557k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€417k – €1.0M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€310k – €651k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€140k – €853k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€176k – €557k
Model value (performance-implied)€417k – €1.0M
Projected value (24 months)€310k – €651k
Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Fousseni Diabaté's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.75x the positional average in the league (1979 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 70

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average32.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.7 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €234k vs market €800k
Expected appreciationVery low-40% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €5.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1979 (65% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.23
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.30
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
32 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1203
Opponent strength
1282
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€310k – €651k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -34% (IQR -39% to -26%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
35 (MID)
Relative output kept
77%–144%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
69%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26KasimpasaSuper LigAM27197965%140.230.30128212030.40
2021/22GiresunsporSuper LigAM34258275%630.310.38124912150.42
2020/21GöztepeSuper LigAM18108830%330.500.56128812000.37
2020/21TrabzonsporSuper LigRW61705%000.000.31131913630.37
2019/20Amiens SCLigue 1RW20119748%130.300.55148313140.82
2018/19SivassporSuper LigRW17141746%230.320.41139413020.58
2018/19Leicester CityPremier LeagueLW1552%000.000.27132415581.22
2017/18Leicester CityPremier LeagueLW1458217%010.150.35153915161.15

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2017/18Fa CupLeicester City210420—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
James Jeggo
Scottish Premiership · 2023
31€700k€500kfell
Murray Davidson
Scottish Premiership · 2019
31€450k€300kfell
Juan Domínguez
Super League 1 · 2021
31€400k€250kfell
Erik Sabo
Super Lig · 2022
31€725k€600kflat
İbrahim Akdağ
Super Lig · 2022
31€675k€150kfell
Zeki Yavru
Super Lig · 2021
30€775k€500kfell
Miguel Mellado
Super League 1 · 2022
29€600k€500kflat
Stelios Kitsiou
Super Lig · 2022
29€1.0M€550kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
8 Sept 2025Lausanne-SportKasimpasaFree / loan€1.2M
7 Sept 2023PartizanLausanne-Sport€600k€5.0M
7 Jul 2022TrabzonsporPartizan€30k€2.7M
30 Jun 2022GiresunsporTrabzonsporFree / loan€2.7M
7 Aug 2021TrabzonsporGiresunsporFree / loan€2.3M
30 Jun 2021GöztepeTrabzonsporFree / loan€2.3M
20 Jan 2021TrabzonsporGöztepeFree / loan€1.8M
25 Sept 2020LeicesterTrabzonspor€1.6M€2.2M
30 Jun 2020Amiens SCLeicesterFree / loan€2.2M
4 Sept 2019LeicesterAmiens SCFree / loan€3.0M
30 Jun 2019SivassporLeicesterFree / loan€3.0M
12 Jan 2019LeicesterSivassporFree / loan€3.0M
13 Jan 2018G. AjaccioLeicester€2.0MData unavailable
1 Jul 2017EA Guingamp BG. AjaccioFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Stade Reims BEA Guingamp BFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2014Stade Reims U19Stade Reims BUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Stade Reims U17Stade Reims U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2011Rennes JugendStade Reims U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.