
Fousseni Diabaté
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Fousseni Diabaté's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.75x the positional average in the league (1979 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 70
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 32.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €234k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -40% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1979 (65% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.23
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.30
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 32 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1203
- Opponent strength
- 1282
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €310k – €651k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -34% (IQR -39% to -26%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 35 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–144%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | AM | 27 | 1979 | 65% | 1 | 4 | 0.23 | 0.30 | 1282 | 1203 | 0.40 |
| 2021/22 | Giresunspor | Super Lig | AM | 34 | 2582 | 75% | 6 | 3 | 0.31 | 0.38 | 1249 | 1215 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | Göztepe | Super Lig | AM | 18 | 1088 | 30% | 3 | 3 | 0.50 | 0.56 | 1288 | 1200 | 0.37 |
| 2020/21 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | RW | 6 | 170 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.31 | 1319 | 1363 | 0.37 |
| 2019/20 | Amiens SC | Ligue 1 | RW | 20 | 1197 | 48% | 1 | 3 | 0.30 | 0.55 | 1483 | 1314 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Sivasspor | Super Lig | RW | 17 | 1417 | 46% | 2 | 3 | 0.32 | 0.41 | 1394 | 1302 | 0.58 |
| 2018/19 | Leicester City | Premier League | LW | 1 | 55 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.27 | 1324 | 1558 | 1.22 |
| 2017/18 | Leicester City | Premier League | LW | 14 | 582 | 17% | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.35 | 1539 | 1516 | 1.15 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017/18 | Fa Cup | Leicester City | 2 | 104 | 2 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Jeggo Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 31 | €700k | €500k | fell |
| Murray Davidson Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 31 | €450k | €300k | fell |
| Juan Domínguez Super League 1 · 2021 | 31 | €400k | €250k | fell |
| Erik Sabo Super Lig · 2022 | 31 | €725k | €600k | flat |
| İbrahim Akdağ Super Lig · 2022 | 31 | €675k | €150k | fell |
| Zeki Yavru Super Lig · 2021 | 30 | €775k | €500k | fell |
| Miguel Mellado Super League 1 · 2022 | 29 | €600k | €500k | flat |
| Stelios Kitsiou Super Lig · 2022 | 29 | €1.0M | €550k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Sept 2025 | Lausanne-Sport | Kasimpasa | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 7 Sept 2023 | Partizan | Lausanne-Sport | €600k | €5.0M |
| 7 Jul 2022 | Trabzonspor | Partizan | €30k | €2.7M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Giresunspor | Trabzonspor | Free / loan | €2.7M |
| 7 Aug 2021 | Trabzonspor | Giresunspor | Free / loan | €2.3M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Göztepe | Trabzonspor | Free / loan | €2.3M |
| 20 Jan 2021 | Trabzonspor | Göztepe | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 25 Sept 2020 | Leicester | Trabzonspor | €1.6M | €2.2M |
| 30 Jun 2020 | Amiens SC | Leicester | Free / loan | €2.2M |
| 4 Sept 2019 | Leicester | Amiens SC | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Sivasspor | Leicester | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 12 Jan 2019 | Leicester | Sivasspor | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 13 Jan 2018 | G. Ajaccio | Leicester | €2.0M | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | EA Guingamp B | G. Ajaccio | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Stade Reims B | EA Guingamp B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Stade Reims U19 | Stade Reims B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Stade Reims U17 | Stade Reims U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Rennes Jugend | Stade Reims U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.