Stipe Radic
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Stipe Radic's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-0.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-1.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 78
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 23.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €832k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -8% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1621 (82% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.06
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 24 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1286
- Opponent strength
- 1257
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €710k – €1.8M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 34 pts; team strength up (+64 Elo); league level up (+45 Elo); relative output down 63% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -7% (IQR -20% to +11%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1621 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 24 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 60%–139%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 71%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Viborg FF | Superliga | CB | 19 | 1621 | 82% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 1257 | 1286 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | Viborg FF | Superliga | CB | 12 | 947 | 48% | 2 | 1 | 0.29 | 0.17 | 1328 | 1222 | 0.38 |
| 2023/24 | Viborg FF | Superliga | CB | 5 | 450 | 23% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1220 | 1261 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | Eredivisie | CB | 7 | 279 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1448 | 1219 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Beerschot VA | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 30 | 2612 | 85% | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 1354 | 1131 | 0.49 |
| 2020/21 | Beerschot VA | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 9 | 790 | 26% | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.08 | 1335 | 1304 | 0.55 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | Viborg FF | 4 | 329 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | Viborg FF | 7 | 449 | 1 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darko Todorovic Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Uğur Çiftçi Super Lig · 2020 | 28 | €1.1M | €2.6M | rose |
| Konstantin Pliev Premier Liga · 2022 | 26 | €700k | €600k | flat |
| Joris Kramer Eredivisie · 2024 | 28 | €1.2M | €1.8M | rose |
| Brian Lluy Super League 1 · 2015 | 26 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Manolis Bertos Super League 1 · 2016 | 27 | €700k | €500k | fell |
| Miguel Vítor Super League 1 · 2015 | 26 | €1.5M | €1.3M | flat |
| Hayrullah Bilazer Super Lig · 2023 | 28 | €1.0M | €275k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2024 | Zrinjski Mostar | Viborg FF | €550k | €800k |
| 3 Sept 2023 | Fortuna Sittard | Zrinjski Mostar | Free / loan | €600k |
| 1 Jan 2023 | Without Club | Fortuna Sittard | Unknown | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Beerschot VA | Without Club | Unknown | €1.2M |
| 1 Feb 2021 | Hajduk Split | Beerschot VA | €240k | €250k |
| 12 Nov 2019 | Hajduk Split II | Hajduk Split | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 10 Jan 2019 | Hajduk U19 | Hajduk Split II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Hajduk U17 | Hajduk U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Hajduk Yth. | Hajduk U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 17 Jan 2011 | NK Solin Jgd | Hajduk Yth. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.