
Joris Kramer
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Joris Kramer's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-1.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 44
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 37.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €949k vs market €1.8M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -50% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 3015 (99% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.12
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 38 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1245
- Opponent strength
- 1307
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €656k – €1.5M
Trajectory drivers: relative output up 142% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -31% (IQR -43% to -21%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 65%–166%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | CB | 34 | 3015 | 99% | 1 | 3 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 1307 | 1245 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | CB | 34 | 3047 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 1305 | 1297 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | CB | 30 | 2565 | 84% | 2 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 1351 | 1254 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie | CB | 22 | 1153 | 38% | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | 0.12 | 1353 | 1266 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | CB | 26 | 2196 | 72% | 2 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 1365 | 1188 | 0.60 |
| 2019/20 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | CB | 1 | 27 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1342 | 1542 | 0.62 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 720 | 0 | 1 | 1488 |
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 | 330 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1632 |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | Go Ahead Eagles | 5 | 510 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 | 168 | 0 | 0 | 1334 |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 | 234 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | NEC Nijmegen | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | Go Ahead Eagles | 4 | 315 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | SC Cambuur Leeuwarden | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksey Gritsaenko Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Nejc Skubic Super Lig · 2020 | 31 | €1.6M | €1.5M | flat |
| Alexis Pérez Super Lig · 2022 | 28 | €2.0M | €2.5M | rose |
| Espen Ruud Superliga · 2013 | 29 | €1.0M | €600k | fell |
| Jesper Lauridsen Superliga · 2019 | 28 | €700k | €350k | fell |
| Nicky Devlin Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 30 | €700k | €500k | fell |
| Guilherme Super Lig · 2022 | 32 | €1.5M | €700k | fell |
| Aaron Meijers Eredivisie · 2015 | 28 | €1.0M | €750k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | NEC Nijmegen | Go Ahead Eagles | €250k | €650k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | AZ Alkmaar | NEC Nijmegen | Unknown | €650k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Go Ahead Eagles | AZ Alkmaar | Free / loan | €650k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | AZ Alkmaar | Go Ahead Eagles | Free / loan | €300k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | SC Cambuur | AZ Alkmaar | Free / loan | €300k |
| 6 Oct 2020 | AZ Alkmaar | SC Cambuur | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | AZ Alkmaar U21 | AZ Alkmaar | Unknown | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2017 | FC Dordrecht | AZ Alkmaar U21 | Free / loan | €125k |
| 1 Aug 2016 | AZ Alkmaar U21 | FC Dordrecht | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | AZ U19 | AZ Alkmaar U21 | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | AZ U17 | AZ U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | AZ Alkmaar Yth. | AZ U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Foresters Yth. | AZ Alkmaar Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.