
Tetê
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Tetê's performance-implied value at EUR 2.2M-7.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 4.1M-10.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.3M-9.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.78x the positional average in the league (1128 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 8
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 60.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €8.0M vs market €9.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -43% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1128 (48% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.40
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.31
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 60 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1465
- Opponent strength
- 1243
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.3M – €9.3M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 32 pts; team strength up (+64 Elo); league level up (+40 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -60% (IQR -72% to -33%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1128 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 19 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 99%–112%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 47%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | RW | 13 | 1128 | 48% | 2 | 3 | 0.40 | 0.31 | 1243 | 1465 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | RW | 25 | 1887 | 81% | 5 | 3 | 0.38 | 0.33 | 1259 | 1402 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Galatasaray | Super Lig | RW | 33 | 1084 | 32% | 0 | 4 | 0.33 | 0.22 | 1276 | 1597 | 0.45 |
| 2022/23 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | RW | 17 | 1116 | 33% | 6 | 3 | 0.73 | 0.40 | 1411 | 1549 | 0.82 |
| 2022/23 | Leicester City | Premier League | RW | 13 | 738 | 22% | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.33 | 1562 | 1498 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | RW | 17 | 968 | 60% | 9 | 1 | 0.93 | 0.42 | 1267 | 1568 | 0.45 |
| 2021/22 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | RW | 9 | 585 | 17% | 2 | 5 | 1.08 | 0.43 | 1364 | 1587 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | RW | 24 | 1508 | 64% | 6 | 3 | 0.54 | 0.26 | 1280 | 1551 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | RW | 18 | 1267 | 64% | 4 | 4 | 0.57 | 0.29 | 1304 | 1619 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 6 | 473 | 0 | 2 | 1391 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 4 | 323 | 0 | 1 | 1354 |
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 94 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1465 |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 3 | 158 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 157 | 1 | 0 | 1533 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 3 | 108 | 1 | 0 | 1457 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Galatasaray | 5 | 230 | 1 | 1 | 1651 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Galatasaray | 2 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 1497 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Galatasaray | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1502 |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Leicester City | 1 | 74 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | 373 | 0 | 0 | 1689 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 309 | 1 | 1 | 1466 |
| 2021/22 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 78 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Olympique Lyon | 2 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1627 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | 515 | 1 | 1 | 1705 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 209 | 1 | 0 | 1570 |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 56 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 155 | 1 | 0 | 1769 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 123 | 0 | 1 | 1604 |
| 2018/19 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 133 | 2 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrija Zivkovic Super League 1 · 2024 | 28 | €8.0M | €8.0M | flat |
| Daniel Mancini Super League 1 · 2024 | 28 | €3.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Alfredo Morelos Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 27 | €6.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| Cyle Larin Super Lig · 2022 | 27 | €10.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Brown Ideye Super League 1 · 2017 | 29 | €5.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Didier Lamkel Zé Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 25 | €4.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Aleksandar Prijovic Super League 1 · 2019 | 29 | €6.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Sam Larsson Eredivisie · 2018 | 25 | €6.0M | €4.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | Panathinaikos | Grêmio | €6.2M | €11.0M |
| 25 Jul 2024 | Galatasaray | Panathinaikos | €5.8M | €10.0M |
| 10 Aug 2023 | Shakhtar D. | Galatasaray | €1.0M | €25.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Lyon | Shakhtar D. | Free / loan | €25.0M |
| 29 Jun 2023 | Leicester | Lyon | Free / loan | €25.0M |
| 29 Jan 2023 | Lyon | Leicester | Free / loan | €25.0M |
| 31 Mar 2022 | Shakhtar D. | Lyon | Free / loan | €20.0M |
| 28 Feb 2019 | Grêmio | Shakhtar D. | €15.0M | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2018 | Grêmio U20 | Grêmio | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.