Carles Soria
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Carles Soria's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 75
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 12.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €137k vs market €450k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -37% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1740 (74% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.05
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 13 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1129
- Opponent strength
- 1246
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €195k – €393k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 55 pts; changed club; team strength up (+76 Elo); league level up (+40 Elo); role change RM -> RB; relative output down 26% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -4% (IQR -29% to +3%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1740 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Volou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos | Super League 1 | RB | 21 | 1740 | 74% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.11 | 1246 | 1129 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | PAS Lamia 1964 | Super League 1 | RM | 5 | 450 | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 1231 | 1053 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | PAS Giannina | Super League 1 | RB | 24 | 2025 | 87% | 0 | 6 | 0.27 | 0.34 | 1266 | 1131 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | PAS Giannina | Super League 1 | RB | 26 | 2338 | 100% | 0 | 5 | 0.19 | 0.21 | 1248 | 1182 | 0.37 |
| 2021/22 | GD Estoril Praia | Liga Portugal | RB | 24 | 1818 | 59% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 1373 | 1294 | 0.67 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Volou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | PAS Giannina | 3 | 241 | 3 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | PAS Giannina | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maksym Zhychykov Premier Liga · 2023 | 31 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Aziz Behich Super Lig · 2021 | 31 | €600k | €550k | flat |
| Nikolaos Marinakis Super League 1 · 2022 | 29 | €350k | €250k | fell |
| Joseph Attamah Super Lig · 2024 | 30 | €500k | €350k | fell |
| Pierre Sagna Super League 1 · 2020 | 30 | €400k | €250k | fell |
| Giannis Stathis Super League 1 · 2015 | 28 | €450k | €500k | flat |
| Dimitrios Kolovetsios Super Lig · 2021 | 30 | €500k | €700k | rose |
| Mitchell Dijks Eredivisie · 2024 | 31 | €850k | €850k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Volos NFC | Without Club | Unknown | €450k |
| 1 Jul 2025 | PAS Lamia | Volos NFC | Free / loan | €450k |
| 29 Jan 2025 | PAS Giannina | PAS Lamia | Free / loan | €500k |
| 12 Jul 2022 | Estoril | PAS Giannina | Free / loan | €800k |
| 5 Aug 2020 | RCD Espanyol B | Estoril | €600k | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | AEK Larnaca | RCD Espanyol B | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | RCD Espanyol B | AEK Larnaca | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Espanyol U19 | RCD Espanyol B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Espanyol U18 | Espanyol U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Espanyol Youth | Espanyol U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | G.Manresa Yth. | Espanyol Youth | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.