
Yevgeniy Morozko
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Yevgeniy Morozko's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.33x the positional average in the league (1493 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Below average | 0.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €83k vs market €150k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -22% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1493 (55% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.30
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.30
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 1 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1042
- Opponent strength
- 1157
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €57k – €153k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -32% (IQR -45% to -15%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1493 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Kudrivka | Premier Liga | LM | 23 | 1493 | 55% | 2 | 3 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 1157 | 1042 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | NK Veres Rivne | Premier Liga | RB | 3 | 147 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1123 | 1133 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | NK Veres Rivne | Premier Liga | RB | 11 | 697 | 26% | 1 | 1 | 0.26 | 0.23 | 1242 | 1152 | 0.34 |
| 2023/24 | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | Premier Liga | RB | 5 | 306 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1254 | 1265 | 0.34 |
| 2020/21 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | LM | 8 | 400 | 17% | 2 | 0 | 0.45 | 0.35 | 1325 | 1336 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | LM | 16 | 962 | 49% | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.20 | 1339 | 1229 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Kolos Kovalivka | 2 | 70 | 0 | 0 | 1383 |
| 2019/20 | Ukrainian Cup | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | 26 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergiy Shestakov Premier Liga · 2024 | 34 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Tyronne Super League 1 · 2022 | 31 | €250k | €200k | fell |
| Tim Sparv Super League 1 · 2021 | 34 | €250k | €150k | fell |
| Sergiy Petko Premier Liga · 2024 | 30 | €300k | €150k | fell |
| Alper Potuk Super Lig · 2021 | 30 | €350k | €200k | fell |
| Juanpi Super League 1 · 2024 | 30 | €450k | €350k | fell |
| Ceyhun Gülselam Super Lig · 2022 | 35 | €200k | €50k | fell |
| Javier Mendoza Super League 1 · 2022 | 30 | €400k | €400k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul 2025 | Without Club | FC Kudrivka | Unknown | €125k |
| 1 Jan 2025 | Veres Rivne | Without Club | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Polissya | Veres Rivne | Free / loan | €250k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Veres Rivne | Polissya | Free / loan | €250k |
| 28 Feb 2024 | Polissya | Veres Rivne | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Kolos Kovalivka | Polissya | Free / loan | €300k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Polissya | Kolos Kovalivka | Free / loan | €300k |
| 31 Aug 2021 | Kolos Kovalivka | Polissya | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Mar 2015 | Without Club | Kolos Kovalivka | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Dinaz Vyshgorod | Without Club | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2013 | FС Sevastopol-2 | Dinaz Vyshgorod | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2012 | Without Club | FС Sevastopol-2 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Arsenal Kyiv II | Without Club | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2011 | Arsenal K. U17 | Arsenal Kyiv II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.