Yevgeniy Morozko

33 yrs · Right-back (also LM) · Ukraine
FC Kudrivka · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 176 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2026
Market value
€150k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€27k – €185k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€95k – €252k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€57k – €153k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€91k – €224k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€27k – €185k
Model value (performance-implied)€95k – €252k
Projected value (24 months)€57k – €153k
Dashed line: current market value (€150k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Yevgeniy Morozko's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.33x the positional average in the league (1493 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)

PerformanceBelow average0.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable33.4 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €83k vs market €150k
Expected appreciationLow-22% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €400k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1493 (55% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.30
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.30
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
1 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1042
Opponent strength
1157
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€57k – €153k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -32% (IQR -45% to -15%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1493 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
37 (all positions)
Relative output kept
87%–128%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
86%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FC KudrivkaPremier LigaLM23149355%230.300.30115710420.25
2024/25NK Veres RivnePremier LigaRB31475%000.000.12112311330.28
2023/24NK Veres RivnePremier LigaRB1169726%110.260.23124211520.34
2023/24FK Polissya ZhytomyrPremier LigaRB530611%000.000.11125412650.34
2020/21Kolos KovalivkaPremier LigaLM840017%200.450.35132513360.49
2019/20Kolos KovalivkaPremier LigaLM1696249%100.090.20133912290.54

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2023/24Ukrainian CupFK Polissya Zhytomyr112000—
2020/21Ukrainian CupKolos Kovalivka19000—
2020/21Uefa Europa League QualifyingKolos Kovalivka270001383
2019/20Ukrainian CupKolos Kovalivka12600—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Sergiy Shestakov
Premier Liga · 2024
34€100k€100kflat
Tyronne
Super League 1 · 2022
31€250k€200kfell
Tim Sparv
Super League 1 · 2021
34€250k€150kfell
Sergiy Petko
Premier Liga · 2024
30€300k€150kfell
Alper Potuk
Super Lig · 2021
30€350k€200kfell
Juanpi
Super League 1 · 2024
30€450k€350kfell
Ceyhun Gülselam
Super Lig · 2022
35€200k€50kfell
Javier Mendoza
Super League 1 · 2022
30€400k€400kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
28 Jul 2025Without ClubFC KudrivkaUnknown€125k
1 Jan 2025Veres RivneWithout ClubUnknown€150k
1 Jul 2024PolissyaVeres RivneFree / loan€250k
30 Jun 2024Veres RivnePolissyaFree / loan€250k
28 Feb 2024PolissyaVeres RivneFree / loan€300k
1 Jul 2022Kolos KovalivkaPolissyaFree / loan€300k
30 Jun 2022PolissyaKolos KovalivkaFree / loan€300k
31 Aug 2021Kolos KovalivkaPolissyaFree / loan€300k
1 Mar 2015Without ClubKolos KovalivkaUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2014Dinaz VyshgorodWithout ClubUnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2013FС Sevastopol-2Dinaz VyshgorodFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jan 2012Without ClubFС Sevastopol-2UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2011Arsenal Kyiv IIWithout ClubUnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2011Arsenal K. U17Arsenal Kyiv IIUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.