Bruce Anderson

28 yrs · Striker · Scotland
Kilmarnock FC · Scottish Premiership · Foot: right · Height: 173 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€300k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€93k – €346k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€315k – €550k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€161k – €385k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€32k – €457k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€93k – €346k
Model value (performance-implied)€315k – €550k
Projected value (24 months)€161k – €385k
Dashed line: current market value (€300k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Bruce Anderson's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.87x the positional average in the league (1748 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: 81

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average7.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral27.8 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €200k vs market €300k
Expected appreciationNeutral-7% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.31
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €600k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1748 (59% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.31
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.44
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
7 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.31 (rank 26)
Team strength (Elo)
1104
Opponent strength
1206
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€161k – €385k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 21 pts; team strength down (-67 Elo); relative output down 24% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -29% (IQR -35% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1748 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
12 (ATT)
Relative output kept
75%–114%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
67%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Kilmarnock FCScottish PremiershipST31174859%420.310.44120611040.31
2024/25Kilmarnock FCScottish PremiershipST25113938%900.710.61118411710.34
2023/24Livingston FCScottish PremiershipST30158053%500.280.51124410410.34
2022/23Livingston FCScottish PremiershipST25153552%520.410.45127511860.40
2021/22Livingston FCScottish PremiershipST28159554%1140.850.88131412780.50
2020/21Hamilton Academical FCScottish PremiershipST867123%230.670.89131911920.54
2020/21Aberdeen FCScottish PremiershipST61023%000.000.61144513360.54
2019/20Aberdeen FCScottish PremiershipST112268%110.800.44122413620.52
2018/19Aberdeen FCScottish PremiershipST1429510%200.610.46128513590.44

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Scottish Fa CupKilmarnock FC1600—
2024/25Uefa Conference League QualifyingKilmarnock FC145001365
2024/25Uefa Europa League QualifyingKilmarnock FC214001393
2024/25Scottish Fa CupKilmarnock FC1300—
2023/24Scottish Fa CupLivingston FC310300—
2022/23Scottish Fa CupLivingston FC28601—
2021/22Scottish Fa CupLivingston FC212401—
2020/21Scottish Fa CupHamilton Academical FC19000—
2020/21Uefa Europa League QualifyingAberdeen FC117001150
2019/20Scottish Fa CupAberdeen FC29400—
2019/20Uefa Europa League QualifyingAberdeen FC18001379

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Sotiris Tsiloulis
Super League 1 · 2023
28€350k€350kflat
Nicolai Brock-Madsen
Superliga · 2021
28€300k€200kfell
Rostyslav Taranukha
Premier Liga · 2024
27€300k€200kfell
Dorin Rotariu
Super League 1 · 2023
28€500k€300kfell
Léo Tilica
Super League 1 · 2023
28€300k€300kflat
Oleg Vyshnevskyi
Premier Liga · 2023
28€400k€200kfell
Yoann Arquin
Scottish Premiership · 2015
27€200k€150kfell
Greg Kiltie
Scottish Premiership · 2023
26€375k€500krose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026Kilmarnock FCWithout ClubUnknown€300k
1 Jul 2024Livingston FCKilmarnock FCFree / loan€550k
1 Jul 2021Aberdeen FCLivingston FCFree / loan€350k
17 May 2021Hamilton Acad.Aberdeen FCFree / loan€275k
1 Feb 2021Aberdeen FCHamilton Acad.Free / loan€275k
4 Jan 2021Ayr UnitedAberdeen FCFree / loan€300k
5 Oct 2020Aberdeen FCAyr UnitedFree / loan€300k
5 May 2019Dunfermline A.Aberdeen FCFree / loan€200k
31 Jan 2019Aberdeen FCDunfermline A.Free / loan€200k
1 Jul 2018Aberdeen FC U20Aberdeen FCUnknownData unavailable
13 Jan 2018Elgin CityAberdeen FC U20Free / loanData unavailable
30 Aug 2017Aberdeen FC U20Elgin CityFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Aberdeen FC U17Aberdeen FC U20UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.