
Bruce Anderson
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Bruce Anderson's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.87x the positional average in the league (1748 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 81
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 7.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €200k vs market €300k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -7% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1748 (59% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.31
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.44
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 7 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1104
- Opponent strength
- 1206
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €161k – €385k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 21 pts; team strength down (-67 Elo); relative output down 24% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -29% (IQR -35% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1748 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 12 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 75%–114%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 67%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kilmarnock FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 31 | 1748 | 59% | 4 | 2 | 0.31 | 0.44 | 1206 | 1104 | 0.31 |
| 2024/25 | Kilmarnock FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 25 | 1139 | 38% | 9 | 0 | 0.71 | 0.61 | 1184 | 1171 | 0.34 |
| 2023/24 | Livingston FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 30 | 1580 | 53% | 5 | 0 | 0.28 | 0.51 | 1244 | 1041 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Livingston FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 25 | 1535 | 52% | 5 | 2 | 0.41 | 0.45 | 1275 | 1186 | 0.40 |
| 2021/22 | Livingston FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 28 | 1595 | 54% | 11 | 4 | 0.85 | 0.88 | 1314 | 1278 | 0.50 |
| 2020/21 | Hamilton Academical FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 8 | 671 | 23% | 2 | 3 | 0.67 | 0.89 | 1319 | 1192 | 0.54 |
| 2020/21 | Aberdeen FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 6 | 102 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.61 | 1445 | 1336 | 0.54 |
| 2019/20 | Aberdeen FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 11 | 226 | 8% | 1 | 1 | 0.80 | 0.44 | 1224 | 1362 | 0.52 |
| 2018/19 | Aberdeen FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 14 | 295 | 10% | 2 | 0 | 0.61 | 0.46 | 1285 | 1359 | 0.44 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | Kilmarnock FC | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Kilmarnock FC | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1365 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Kilmarnock FC | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1393 |
| 2024/25 | Scottish Fa Cup | Kilmarnock FC | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Scottish Fa Cup | Livingston FC | 3 | 103 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Scottish Fa Cup | Livingston FC | 2 | 86 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Scottish Fa Cup | Livingston FC | 2 | 124 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Scottish Fa Cup | Hamilton Academical FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Aberdeen FC | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1150 |
| 2019/20 | Scottish Fa Cup | Aberdeen FC | 2 | 94 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Aberdeen FC | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1379 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sotiris Tsiloulis Super League 1 · 2023 | 28 | €350k | €350k | flat |
| Nicolai Brock-Madsen Superliga · 2021 | 28 | €300k | €200k | fell |
| Rostyslav Taranukha Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €300k | €200k | fell |
| Dorin Rotariu Super League 1 · 2023 | 28 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Léo Tilica Super League 1 · 2023 | 28 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Oleg Vyshnevskyi Premier Liga · 2023 | 28 | €400k | €200k | fell |
| Yoann Arquin Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 27 | €200k | €150k | fell |
| Greg Kiltie Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 26 | €375k | €500k | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Kilmarnock FC | Without Club | Unknown | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Livingston FC | Kilmarnock FC | Free / loan | €550k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Aberdeen FC | Livingston FC | Free / loan | €350k |
| 17 May 2021 | Hamilton Acad. | Aberdeen FC | Free / loan | €275k |
| 1 Feb 2021 | Aberdeen FC | Hamilton Acad. | Free / loan | €275k |
| 4 Jan 2021 | Ayr United | Aberdeen FC | Free / loan | €300k |
| 5 Oct 2020 | Aberdeen FC | Ayr United | Free / loan | €300k |
| 5 May 2019 | Dunfermline A. | Aberdeen FC | Free / loan | €200k |
| 31 Jan 2019 | Aberdeen FC | Dunfermline A. | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Aberdeen FC U20 | Aberdeen FC | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 13 Jan 2018 | Elgin City | Aberdeen FC U20 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 30 Aug 2017 | Aberdeen FC U20 | Elgin City | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Aberdeen FC U17 | Aberdeen FC U20 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.