Scott Tiffoney
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Scott Tiffoney's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.19x the positional average in the league (566 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 0.7th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €81k vs market €250k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -7% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 566 (19% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.32
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.48
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 1 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1104
- Opponent strength
- 1221
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €137k – €283k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 31 pts; changed club.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +11% (IQR -7% to +40%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 566 league minutes last season.
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 11 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 12 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 75%–114%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 67%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kilmarnock FC | Scottish Premiership | LW | 12 | 566 | 19% | 1 | 1 | 0.32 | 0.48 | 1221 | 1104 | 0.31 |
| 2024/25 | Dundee FC | Scottish Premiership | LW | 30 | 1491 | 50% | 5 | 1 | 0.36 | 0.51 | 1242 | 1122 | 0.34 |
| 2023/24 | Dundee FC | Scottish Premiership | LW | 24 | 1215 | 41% | 3 | 2 | 0.37 | 0.51 | 1237 | 1153 | 0.34 |
| 2020/21 | Livingston FC | Scottish Premiership | LW | 12 | 398 | 13% | 1 | 1 | 0.45 | 0.62 | 1322 | 1325 | 0.54 |
| 2019/20 | Livingston FC | Scottish Premiership | LW | 7 | 200 | 7% | 0 | 1 | 0.45 | 0.46 | 1267 | 1315 | 0.52 |
| 2018/19 | Livingston FC | Scottish Premiership | LW | 4 | 134 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.37 | 1295 | 1266 | 0.44 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | Kilmarnock FC | 1 | 28 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Scottish Fa Cup | Dundee FC | 2 | 106 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2023/24 | Scottish Fa Cup | Dundee FC | 1 | 57 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Scottish Fa Cup | Partick Thistle FC | 2 | 164 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2019/20 | Scottish Fa Cup | Ayr United FC | 1 | 36 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorin Durmishaj Super League 1 · 2023 | 27 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Andriy Boryachuk Premier Liga · 2023 | 27 | €400k | €300k | fell |
| Kostyantyn Bychek Premier Liga · 2024 | 24 | €250k | €250k | flat |
| Ari Moura Premier Liga · 2024 | 28 | €350k | €500k | rose |
| Lazar Romanić Super League 1 · 2023 | 25 | €350k | €1.5M | rose |
| Vlad Morar Super League 1 · 2020 | 27 | €325k | €450k | rose |
| Craig Curran Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 30 | €325k | €100k | fell |
| Nikolaos Vergos Super League 1 · 2023 | 27 | €450k | €550k | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Dundee FC | Kilmarnock FC | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Partick Thistle | Dundee FC | Free / loan | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Livingston FC | Partick Thistle | Free / loan | €250k |
| 5 May 2021 | Partick Thistle | Livingston FC | Free / loan | €300k |
| 23 Mar 2021 | Livingston FC | Partick Thistle | Free / loan | €300k |
| 25 May 2020 | Ayr United | Livingston FC | Free / loan | €175k |
| 30 Jan 2020 | Livingston FC | Ayr United | Free / loan | €200k |
| 6 Jan 2019 | Morton | Livingston FC | Free / loan | €100k |
| 11 Aug 2018 | Livingston FC | Morton | Free / loan | €100k |
| 10 Aug 2018 | Morton | Livingston FC | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Greenock U20 | Morton | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Clyde FC | Greenock U20 | Free / loan | €50k |
| 10 Nov 2016 | Greenock U20 | Clyde FC | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Greenock U17 | Greenock U20 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.