Khetag Khosonov
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Khetag Khosonov's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-0.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-0.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.72x the positional average in the league (1462 minutes, league coefficient 0.56). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 70
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 18.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €530k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -36% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1462 (54% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.06
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.09
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 18 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1212
- Opponent strength
- 1350
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €377k – €877k
Trajectory drivers: changed club; relative output down 63% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -24% (IQR -50% to +19%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1462 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 18 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 54%–153%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 56%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Akron Togliatti | Premier Liga | DM | 23 | 1462 | 54% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.09 | 1350 | 1212 | 0.56 |
| 2024/25 | FC Khimki (-2025) | Premier Liga | DM | 17 | 1343 | 50% | 1 | 2 | 0.20 | 0.25 | 1320 | 1204 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | PFK Tambov (-2021) | Premier Liga | RM | 8 | 99 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.55 | 1431 | 1285 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | PFK CSKA Moskva | Premier Liga | DM | 5 | 139 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1443 | 1547 | 0.69 |
| 2017/18 | PFK CSKA Moskva | Premier Liga | DM | 5 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1451 | 1596 | 0.75 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | Akron Togliatti | 4 | 213 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Russian Cup | FC Khimki (-2025) | 3 | 210 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2018/19 | Russian Super Cup | PFK CSKA Moskva | 1 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 1516 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | PFK CSKA Moskva | 2 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 1661 |
| 2017/18 | Russian Cup | PFK CSKA Moskva | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | PFK CSKA Moskva | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1666 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | PFK CSKA Moskva | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1787 |
| 2016/17 | Russian Cup | PFK CSKA Moskva | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ederson Tormena Jupiler Pro League · 2013 | 27 | €700k | €300k | fell |
| Andrey Mendel Premier Liga · 2023 | 28 | €600k | €800k | rose |
| Vladislav Kamilov Premier Liga · 2022 | 27 | €800k | €800k | flat |
| Yusuf Erdoğan Super Lig · 2019 | 27 | €900k | €1.8M | rose |
| Brice Dja Djedje Super Lig · 2019 | 29 | €700k | €400k | fell |
| Branko Jovicic Premier Liga · 2021 | 28 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Youssef Aït Bennasser Super Lig · 2024 | 28 | €700k | €800k | flat |
| Vasco Rocha Liga Portugal · 2017 | 28 | €800k | €200k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2025 | Torpedo Moscow | Akron Tolyatti | €440k | €1.0M |
| 10 Jan 2025 | Khimki | Torpedo Moscow | €500k | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Alania Vl. | Khimki | Free / loan | €750k |
| 1 Aug 2020 | CSKA Moscow | Alania Vl. | €230k | €450k |
| 1 Jun 2020 | Tambov | CSKA Moscow | Free / loan | €525k |
| 25 Jan 2019 | CSKA Moscow | Tambov | Free / loan | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | CSKA Moscow II | CSKA Moscow | Unknown | €450k |
| 31 Aug 2015 | CSKA U17 | CSKA Moscow II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Yunost VKZ | CSKA U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.