Lennard Maloney
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Lennard Maloney's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-3.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.9M-2.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-3.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.73x the positional average in the league (472 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 45.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.9M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -20% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 472 (15% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.09
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 45 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1485
- Opponent strength
- 1569
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €965k – €3.3M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength up (+128 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -31% (IQR -50% to -18%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 472 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | Bundesliga | DM | 21 | 472 | 15% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1569 | 1485 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 | Bundesliga | DM | 11 | 765 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1555 | 1353 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | Bundesliga | DM | 5 | 23 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1459 | 1515 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 | Bundesliga | DM | 29 | 2294 | 75% | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 1529 | 1424 | 1.01 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2 | 96 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1343 |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 | 2 | 165 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 | 2 | 118 | 0 | 0 | 1387 |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 | 2 | 135 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Reyes Super Lig · 2019 | 27 | €2.0M | €1.8M | flat |
| Selim Amallah Laliga · 2024 | 28 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Kévin Anin Ligue 1 · 2013 | 27 | €2.5M | €500k | fell |
| Afriyie Acquah Serie A · 2018 | 26 | €2.0M | €1.6M | fell |
| Jamel Saihi Ligue 1 · 2013 | 26 | €2.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Filip Djuricic Serie A · 2017 | 25 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Ederson Serie A · 2014 | 28 | €2.5M | €1.3M | fell |
| Stephen Ireland Premier League · 2013 | 27 | €4.0M | €2.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2025 | Heidenheim | Mainz | €500k | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | B. Dortmund II | Heidenheim | Free / loan | €350k |
| 7 Aug 2020 | Union Berlin | B. Dortmund II | Unknown | €150k |
| 5 Jul 2020 | Chemnitzer FC | Union Berlin | Free / loan | €150k |
| 31 Jan 2020 | Union Berlin | Chemnitzer FC | Free / loan | €150k |
| 15 Aug 2017 | U. Berlin U19 | Union Berlin | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | U. Berlin U17 | U. Berlin U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | U. Berlin Yth. | U. Berlin U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Mahlsdorf Jgd. | U. Berlin Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2006 | Köpen. SC Jgd. | Mahlsdorf Jgd. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.