Filip Djuricic
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Filip Djuricic's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-2.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.88x the positional average in the league (936 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Above average | 63.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 34.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €444k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -54% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 936 (40% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.48
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.35
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 64 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1465
- Opponent strength
- 1220
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €230k – €563k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 17 pts; team strength up (+64 Elo); league level up (+40 Elo); role change LW -> AM.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -65% (IQR -80% to -55%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 936 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 14 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–189%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 64%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | AM | 18 | 936 | 40% | 3 | 2 | 0.48 | 0.35 | 1220 | 1465 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | LW | 24 | 1330 | 57% | 6 | 1 | 0.47 | 0.34 | 1271 | 1402 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | AM | 15 | 842 | 36% | 3 | 3 | 0.64 | 0.41 | 1261 | 1453 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | UC Sampdoria | Serie A | AM | 32 | 2187 | 64% | 3 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.28 | 1466 | 1271 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | AM | 12 | 677 | 20% | 2 | 1 | 0.40 | 0.38 | 1458 | 1464 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | AM | 32 | 2095 | 61% | 5 | 4 | 0.39 | 0.38 | 1434 | 1502 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | AM | 29 | 1643 | 48% | 5 | 6 | 0.60 | 0.54 | 1455 | 1428 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | LW | 23 | 1261 | 37% | 2 | 1 | 0.21 | 0.44 | 1532 | 1351 | 0.78 |
| 2017/18 | Benevento Calcio | Serie A | LW | 15 | 980 | 29% | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.49 | 1521 | 1241 | 0.86 |
| 2017/18 | UC Sampdoria | Serie A | AM | 1 | 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.37 | 1442 | 1393 | 0.86 |
| 2016/17 | UC Sampdoria | Serie A | AM | 19 | 499 | 15% | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | 0.29 | 1474 | 1414 | 0.88 |
| 2015/16 | RSC Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 7 | 566 | 21% | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | 0.19 | 1290 | 1510 | 0.57 |
| 2015/16 | SL Benfica | Liga Portugal | SS | 1 | 21 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 1341 | 1712 | 0.58 |
| 2014/15 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | Bundesliga | AM | 11 | 477 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.21 | 1477 | 1481 | 1.03 |
| 2014/15 | Southampton FC | Premier League | AM | 9 | 327 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 1579 | 1546 | 1.06 |
| 2013/14 | SL Benfica | Liga Portugal | SS | 11 | 354 | 13% | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.31 | 1464 | 1761 | 0.74 |
| 2012/13 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | AM | 32 | 2712 | 89% | 7 | 7 | 0.46 | 0.55 | 1370 | 1265 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 9 | 481 | 1 | 0 | 1427 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 152 | 1 | 0 | 1461 |
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 3 | 147 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 118 | 0 | 0 | 1357 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 4 | 317 | 1 | 1 | 1441 |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 105 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 1524 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 6 | 369 | 1 | 1 | 1486 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 5 | 185 | 0 | 0 | 1530 |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 3 | 129 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | UC Sampdoria | 2 | 164 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | US Sassuolo | 1 | 47 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Italy Cup | US Sassuolo | 1 | 32 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Italy Cup | US Sassuolo | 2 | 134 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Italy Cup | UC Sampdoria | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Italy Cup | UC Sampdoria | 2 | 163 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League | RSC Anderlecht | 3 | 178 | 0 | 0 | 1601 |
| 2014/15 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1 | 59 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League | SL Benfica | 3 | 240 | 0 | 1 | 1532 |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Champions League | SL Benfica | 3 | 137 | 1 | 0 | 1626 |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | SC Heerenveen | 4 | 340 | 2 | 0 | 1352 |
| 2012/13 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 1 | 120 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan Schwab Super League 1 · 2024 | 34 | €900k | €300k | fell |
| Mehmet Topal Super Lig · 2020 | 34 | €900k | €100k | fell |
| Scott Arfield Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 35 | €1.0M | €100k | fell |
| Mathieu Valbuena Super League 1 · 2021 | 37 | €1.0M | €400k | fell |
| Marek Hamsik Super Lig · 2023 | 36 | €1.2M | €1.2M | flat |
| Alaixys Romao Super League 1 · 2017 | 33 | €800k | €500k | fell |
| André Rømer Superliga · 2024 | 31 | €1.0M | €250k | fell |
| Facundo Bertoglio Super League 1 · 2022 | 32 | €700k | €250k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | Sampdoria | Panathinaikos | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 1 Aug 2022 | Sassuolo | Sampdoria | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Sampdoria | Sassuolo | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Benevento | Sampdoria | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 18 Jan 2018 | Sampdoria | Benevento | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 30 Jan 2017 | Benfica | Sampdoria | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 29 Jan 2017 | Sampdoria | Benfica | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 22 Jul 2016 | Benfica | Sampdoria | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 30 Jun 2016 | RSC Anderlecht | Benfica | Free / loan | €4.5M |
| 25 Jan 2016 | Benfica | RSC Anderlecht | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2015 | Southampton | Benfica | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 2 Feb 2015 | Benfica | Southampton | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 1 Feb 2015 | Mainz | Benfica | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 23 Jul 2014 | Benfica | Mainz | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Heerenveen | Benfica | €8.0M | €7.0M |
| 1 Jan 2010 | Radnicki Obreno | Heerenveen | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2008 | Red Star U17 | Radnicki Obreno | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.