Wilfried Kanga

28 yrs · Striker · Cote d'Ivoire
KAA Gent · Jupiler Pro League · Foot: right · Height: 189 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€3.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€1.4M – €3.6M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.6M – €5.5M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.2M – €3.8M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€2.1M – €4.1M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1.4M – €3.6M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.6M – €5.5M
Projected value (24 months)€1.2M – €3.8M
Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Wilfried Kanga's performance-implied value at EUR 1.6M-5.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.4M-3.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.2M-3.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.15x the positional average in the league (2025 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 58

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average59.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable28.4 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €2.3M vs market €3.0M
Expected appreciationLow-19% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.65
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €4.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2025 (75% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.62
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.59
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
60 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.65 (rank 6)
Team strength (Elo)
1403
Opponent strength
1370
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.2M – €3.8M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -6% (IQR -32% to +14%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
78 (ATT)
Relative output kept
72%–126%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
60%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26KAA GentJupiler Pro LeagueST25202575%1040.620.59137014030.65
2023/24Standard LiègeJupiler Pro LeagueST27232186%930.470.54137713340.63
2022/23Hertha BSCBundesligaST23142146%200.130.37152813541.04
2020/21KayserisporSuper LigST1491525%200.200.48128211690.37
2020/21Angers SCOLigue 1ST21344%000.000.43138913260.75
2019/20Angers SCOLigue 1ST4653%000.000.60152114150.82
2018/19Angers SCOLigue 1ST1848114%200.370.57146814090.82
2017/18Angers SCOLigue 1ST91705%000.000.62155713810.85

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Jupiler Pro League Playoff IKAA Gent10726201491
2022/23Uefa Conference League QualifyingBSC Young Boys128001322

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Davidson
Liga Portugal · 2019
28€3.0M€4.0Mrose
Sly
Premier Liga · 2018
28€2.4M€3.5Mrose
Ryan Babel
Super Lig · 2015
29€5.0M€5.0Mflat
Mustapha Yatabaré
Ligue 1 · 2014
28€2.3M€2.0Mflat
Préjuce Nakoulma
Super Lig · 2015
28€2.3M€2.5Mflat
Bruno Moreira
Liga Portugal · 2016
29€2.8M€700kfell
Miguel Rosa
Liga Portugal · 2015
26€3.5M€1.3Mfell
Ömer Ali Şahiner
Super Lig · 2019
27€2.0M€1.7Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2025Dinamo ZagrebKAA Gent€1.2M€2.5M
20 Jan 2025Hertha BSCDinamo Zagreb€1.7M€3.5M
19 Jan 2025CardiffHertha BSCFree / loan€3.5M
30 Jul 2024Hertha BSCCardiffFree / loan€4.0M
30 Jun 2024Standard LiègeHertha BSCFree / loan€4.0M
7 Aug 2023Hertha BSCStandard LiègeFree / loan€3.0M
30 Jul 2022Young BoysHertha BSC€5.0M€2.2M
8 Jul 2021KayserisporYoung BoysFree / loan€400k
15 Sept 2020Angers SCOKayserisporUnknown€900k
4 Jul 2017Paris SG U19Angers SCOFree / loan€200k
30 Jun 2017US Créteil-LParis SG U19Free / loan€200k
13 Jul 2016Paris SG U19US Créteil-LFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Paris SG U17Paris SG U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2013PSG YouthParis SG U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.