Hüseyin Türkmen

28 yrs · Centre-back (also RB) · Türkiye
Antalyaspor · Super Lig · Foot: right · Height: 183 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€300k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€67k – €354k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€288k – €556k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€184k – €348k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€66k – €489k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€67k – €354k
Model value (performance-implied)€288k – €556k
Projected value (24 months)€184k – €348k
Dashed line: current market value (€300k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Hüseyin Türkmen's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: 87

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average7.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable28.5 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €189k vs market €300k
Expected appreciationNeutral-3% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €3.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1431 (47% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.04
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
8 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1139
Opponent strength
1273
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€184k – €348k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -27% (IQR -34% to -13%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1431 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
50 (DEF)
Relative output kept
68%–191%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
54%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26AntalyasporSuper LigCB20143147%000.000.04127311390.40
2024/25TrabzonsporSuper LigCB531010%000.000.04121913070.39
2023/24TrabzonsporSuper LigRB41394%000.000.15146013790.45
2022/23TrabzonsporSuper LigCB14103532%000.000.03130613770.50
2021/22TrabzonsporSuper LigCB1370120%010.130.07127014330.42
2020/21TrabzonsporSuper LigRB1194726%010.100.08123913630.37
2019/20TrabzonsporSuper LigCB27211969%010.040.04133014100.45
2018/19TrabzonsporSuper LigCB23201666%010.040.05138314590.58
2017/18TrabzonsporSuper LigRB2171%000.000.07113214320.68

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueTrabzonspor145001602
2019/20Uefa Europa League QualifyingTrabzonspor3270001487
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueTrabzonspor190001614

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Kévin Gomis
Scottish Premiership · 2017
28€400k€400kflat
Frans Dhia Putros
Superliga · 2019
26€300k€250kflat
Lee Hodson
Scottish Premiership · 2019
28€200k€300krose
Sören Reese
Superliga · 2021
28€400k€300kfell
Oleksiy Zozulya
Premier Liga · 2022
30€300k€200kfell
Manjrekar James
Superliga · 2022
29€400k€250kfell
Jetro Willems
Eredivisie · 2024
30€400k€250kfell
Selim Ay
Super Lig · 2020
29€175k€125kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
9 Jul 2025Without ClubAntalyasporUnknown€100k
29 May 2025TrabzonsporWithout ClubUnknown€150k
22 Nov 2017Trabzonspor U21TrabzonsporUnknown€50k
1 Jul 2016Trabzonspor U19Trabzonspor U21UnknownData unavailable
14 Aug 20151461 Trbzn. YthTrabzonspor U19Free / loanData unavailable
14 Oct 2011Ünye Bld. Youth1461 Trbzn. YthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.