Nicholas Opoku
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Nicholas Opoku's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 68
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 34.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €828k vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -35% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2432 (80% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.02
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 34 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1203
- Opponent strength
- 1282
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €602k – €1.4M
Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-65 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -31% (IQR -58% to -22%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 50 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–191%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 54%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | CB | 30 | 2432 | 79% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1282 | 1203 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | CB | 27 | 2204 | 68% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1298 | 1268 | 0.39 |
| 2019/20 | Amiens SC | Ligue 1 | CB | 7 | 630 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1473 | 1314 | 0.82 |
| 2019/20 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | CB | 7 | 482 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1430 | 1388 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | CB | 12 | 909 | 27% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1445 | 1355 | 0.78 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019/20 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 3 | 238 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Ghomsi Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 28 | €800k | €350k | fell |
| Alin Toșca Super Lig · 2022 | 30 | €1.8M | €700k | fell |
| Damian van Bruggen Eredivisie · 2024 | 28 | €650k | €500k | fell |
| Semih Güler Super Lig · 2024 | 30 | €1.0M | €800k | fell |
| Jordi Amat Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 29 | €1.4M | €900k | fell |
| Jores Okore Superliga · 2019 | 27 | €1.0M | €750k | fell |
| Ramon Zomer Eredivisie · 2013 | 30 | €1.5M | €450k | fell |
| Javi Martos Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 30 | €800k | €650k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2024 | Amiens SC | Kasimpasa | Free / loan | €900k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Udinese | Amiens SC | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Amiens SC | Udinese | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 28 Jan 2020 | Udinese | Amiens SC | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 13 Jul 2018 | Club Africain | Udinese | €1.5M | €700k |
| 11 Aug 2017 | Berekum Chelsea | Club Africain | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.