Artem Kozak
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Artem Kozak's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.60x the positional average in the league (610 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €164k vs market €500k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -27% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 610 (23% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.13
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 1 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1068
- Opponent strength
- 1135
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €217k – €506k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 18 pts; team strength down (-240 Elo); role change AM -> RM.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -15% (IQR -32% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 610 league minutes last season.
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | RM | 11 | 610 | 23% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1135 | 1068 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | AM | 21 | 1097 | 41% | 1 | 2 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 1166 | 1309 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | Premier Liga | RM | 26 | 1764 | 65% | 4 | 5 | 0.46 | 0.30 | 1254 | 1265 | 0.34 |
| 2019/20 | Karpaty Lviv (-2021) | Premier Liga | CM | 9 | 245 | 12% | 1 | 0 | 0.37 | 0.27 | 1287 | 1195 | 0.54 |
| 2018/19 | Arsenal Kyiv | Premier Liga | CM | 2 | 124 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.28 | 1285 | 1186 | 0.57 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 1 | 61 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Oleksandriya | 2 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 1346 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | 2 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 1356 |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 1 | 45 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | 3 | 301 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Ukrainian Cup | Karpaty Lviv (-2021) | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Purrington Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 28 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Scott Allardice Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 26 | €350k | €250k | fell |
| Sven Sprangler Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 29 | €225k | €225k | flat |
| Vladyslav Yemets Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €350k | €75k | fell |
| Oleg Slobodyan Premier Liga · 2024 | 28 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Godfred Donsah Super Lig · 2022 | 26 | €650k | €400k | fell |
| Stevie Mallan Super Lig · 2022 | 26 | €500k | €350k | fell |
| Isaac Osbourne Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 29 | €325k | €325k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2026 | FC Oleksandriya | Without Club | Unknown | €500k |
| 20 Aug 2024 | Polissya | FC Oleksandriya | Free / loan | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Chornomorets | Polissya | Free / loan | €100k |
| 26 Aug 2020 | Karpaty | Chornomorets | Free / loan | €100k |
| 22 Jul 2019 | Arsenal Kyiv | Karpaty Lviv | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Nov 2018 | Without Club | Arsenal Kyiv | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | PAOK U19 | Without Club | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 2 Sept 2016 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | PAOK U20 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Sept 2014 | Dynamo Kyiv U17 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2014 | BRW-VIK | Dynamo Kyiv U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.