Manor Solomon

27 yrs · Left winger (also RW) · Israel
Villarreal CF · Laliga · Foot: right · Height: 170 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€8.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€2.9M – €8.5M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€4.5M – €21.0M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€3.0M – €8.7M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€4.1M – €18.1M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€2.9M – €8.5M
Model value (performance-implied)€4.5M – €21.0M
Projected value (24 months)€3.0M – €8.7M
Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Manor Solomon's performance-implied value at EUR 4.5M-21.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.9M-8.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.0M-8.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.93x the positional average in the league (1033 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 13

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average75th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.9 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €6.9M vs market €8.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-40% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.93
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €20.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1033 (30% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.44
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.37
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
75 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.93 (rank 2)
Team strength (Elo)
1511
Opponent strength
1504
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€3.0M – €8.7M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -25% (IQR -43% to +3%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1033 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26ACF FiorentinaSerie ALW1688726%210.300.37150415060.93
2025/26Villarreal CFLaligaLW61464%111.230.45150215440.95
2023/24Tottenham HotspurPremier LeagueLW51986%020.910.43150815881.14
2022/23Fulham FCPremier LeagueLW1956316%400.640.65158914951.23
2021/22FC Shakhtar DonetskPremier LigaLW1686453%410.520.25127115680.45
2020/21FC Shakhtar DonetskPremier LigaLW23134457%910.670.36128015510.49
2019/20FC Shakhtar DonetskPremier LigaRW1258229%120.460.27133916190.54
2018/19FC Shakhtar DonetskPremier LigaRW4633%000.000.20126216250.57

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Copa Del ReyVillarreal CF315103—
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueVillarreal CF261001441
2025/26Italy CupACF Fiorentina11700—
2022/23Fa CupFulham FC526610—
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk5322001675
2021/22Uefa Champions League QualifyingFC Shakhtar Donetsk3193011500
2021/22Ukrainian CupFC Shakhtar Donetsk16900—
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk6370201696
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk4206001527
2020/21Ukrainian CupFC Shakhtar Donetsk19100—
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk5134201757
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk362101656
2018/19Ukrainian CupFC Shakhtar Donetsk319310—
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk266001602

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Gianluca Lapadula
Serie A · 2017
27€8.0M€5.0Mfell
Nemanja Radonjic
Bundesliga · 2021
25€6.0M€4.0Mfell
Emmanuel Emenike
Premier Liga · 2013
26€12.0M€10.0Mflat
Alan Kasaev
Premier Liga · 2013
27€4.0M€4.5Mflat
Rafael Borré
Bundesliga · 2024
29€8.0M€3.5Mfell
Marcos André
Laliga · 2022
26€5.0M€2.0Mfell
Andy Carroll
Premier League · 2015
26€10.0M€10.0Mflat
Admir Mehmedi
Bundesliga · 2018
27€5.0M€8.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2026FiorentinaTottenhamFree / loan€8.0M
2 Jan 2026TottenhamFiorentinaFree / loan€9.0M
1 Jan 2026VillarrealTottenhamFree / loan€9.0M
1 Sept 2025TottenhamVillarrealFree / loan€14.0M
30 Jun 2025LeedsTottenhamFree / loan€14.0M
27 Aug 2024TottenhamLeedsFree / loan€13.0M
11 Jul 2023Shakhtar D.TottenhamFree / loan€18.0M
30 Jun 2023FulhamShakhtar D.Free / loan€18.0M
25 Jul 2022Shakhtar D.FulhamFree / loan€18.0M
11 Jan 2019M. Petah TikvaShakhtar D.€6.5M€1.5M
1 Jul 2016M. P. Tikva U19M. Petah TikvaUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.