Adam Sørensen
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Adam Sørensen's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.82x the positional average in the league (1410 minutes, league coefficient 0.47). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 91
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 1.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €453k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -6% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1410 (71% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.19
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.18
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 2 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1215
- Opponent strength
- 1273
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €494k – €1.3M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -16% (IQR -39% to +14%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1410 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 23 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 65%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Odense Boldklub | Superliga | LM | 21 | 1410 | 71% | 1 | 2 | 0.19 | 0.18 | 1273 | 1215 | 0.47 |
| 2022/23 | Lyngby Boldklub | Superliga | LM | 16 | 1389 | 70% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.20 | 1298 | 1173 | 0.47 |
| 2019/20 | Lyngby Boldklub | Superliga | LB | 1 | 45 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1298 | 1176 | 0.41 |
| 2017/18 | Lyngby Boldklub | Superliga | LB | 1 | 9 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1188 | 1197 | 0.47 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | Odense Boldklub | 2 | 128 | 0 | 3 | — |
| 2022/23 | Oddset Pokalen | Lyngby Boldklub | 1 | 59 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Oddset Pokalen | Lyngby Boldklub | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Goglichidze Premier Liga · 2022 | 25 | €600k | €800k | rose |
| Godfried Roemeratoe Eredivisie · 2024 | 25 | €650k | €400k | fell |
| Keanu Baccus Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 25 | €650k | €700k | flat |
| Franco Mazurek Super League 1 · 2018 | 25 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Halil Akbunar Super Lig · 2020 | 27 | €1.1M | €3.5M | rose |
| Sheriff Isa Premier Liga · 2015 | 25 | €600k | €200k | fell |
| Mikkel Qvist Superliga · 2018 | 25 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Fatjon Andoni Super League 1 · 2018 | 27 | €500k | €350k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2025 | Bodø/Glimt | Odense BK | €600k | €750k |
| 30 Jan 2023 | Lyngby BK | Bodø/Glimt | €1.0M | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Lyngby BK U19 | Lyngby BK | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Lyngby BK Youth | Lyngby BK U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.