Roman Kvet
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Roman Kvet's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.86x the positional average in the league (2476 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 74
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 32.1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €459k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -37% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2476 (92% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.18
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.35
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 32 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1207
- Opponent strength
- 1387
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €399k – €1.1M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 21 pts; role change CM -> AM; relative output down 36% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -46% (IQR -57% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FCV Dender EH | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 30 | 2476 | 92% | 5 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.35 | 1387 | 1207 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | FCV Dender EH | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 28 | 1913 | 71% | 4 | 1 | 0.24 | 0.29 | 1377 | 1267 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Sivasspor | Super Lig | CM | 24 | 716 | 21% | 1 | 2 | 0.38 | 0.33 | 1330 | 1293 | 0.45 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Relegation Play Offs | FCV Dender EH | 2 | 75 | 0 | 1 | 1290 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Hubert Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 29 | €750k | €300k | fell |
| Vítor Gomes Liga Portugal · 2016 | 29 | €650k | €800k | rose |
| Léo Cordeiro Liga Portugal · 2024 | 29 | €800k | €800k | flat |
| Elohim Rolland Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 28 | €1.0M | €650k | fell |
| Leonardo Bertone Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 27 | €900k | €400k | fell |
| Mark Diemers Eredivisie · 2023 | 30 | €1.2M | €1.2M | flat |
| Volodymyr Pryiomov Premier Liga · 2015 | 29 | €800k | €300k | fell |
| Hélder Tavares Liga Portugal · 2018 | 29 | €800k | €350k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Viktoria Plzeň | FCV Dender EH | €500k | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | FCV Dender EH | Viktoria Plzeň | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Viktoria Plzeň | FCV Dender EH | Free / loan | €650k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Sivasspor | Viktoria Plzeň | Free / loan | €650k |
| 14 Aug 2023 | Viktoria Plzeň | Sivasspor | Free / loan | €900k |
| 1 Jan 2023 | Bohemians 1905 | Viktoria Plzeň | €600k | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Pribram | Bohemians 1905 | €80k | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2020 | Bohemians 1905 | Pribram | Free / loan | €400k |
| 17 Feb 2020 | Pribram | Bohemians 1905 | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Pribram U19 | Pribram | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 20 Feb 2015 | Sedlcany Yth. | Pribram U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 25 Aug 2009 | Kos. Hora Yth. | Sedlcany Yth. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 12 Mar 2009 | Pribram Yth. | Kos. Hora Yth. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jun 2008 | Sparta Krc Yth. | Pribram Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 20 Aug 2007 | Pribram Yth. | Sparta Krc Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 26 Oct 2006 | Kos. Hora Yth. | Pribram Yth. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 11 Apr 2006 | Sedlcany Yth. | Kos. Hora Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 7 Apr 2005 | Kos. Hora Yth. | Sedlcany Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.