Lukasz Lakomy
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Lukasz Lakomy's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-2.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-3.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 2.45x the positional average in the league (1697 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 64
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 29.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.4M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -17% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1697 (63% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.32
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.30
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 29 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1329
- Opponent strength
- 1379
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €871k – €3.0M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -23% (IQR -49% to +7%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1697 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 23 | 1697 | 63% | 3 | 3 | 0.32 | 0.30 | 1379 | 1329 | 0.65 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 9 | 423 | 0 | 0 | 1389 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | BSC Young Boys | 7 | 444 | 1 | 0 | 1622 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musa Çağıran Super Lig · 2018 | 26 | €1.8M | €800k | fell |
| Osama Rashid Liga Portugal · 2019 | 27 | €2.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Aleksandr Troshechkin Premier Liga · 2021 | 25 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Miguel Rosa Liga Portugal · 2016 | 27 | €3.0M | €550k | fell |
| Ahmed El Messaoudi Eredivisie · 2019 | 24 | €1.0M | €1.3M | rose |
| Pelé Liga Portugal · 2016 | 25 | €3.0M | €4.0M | rose |
| Pablo Roberto Liga Portugal · 2024 | 25 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Julien De Sart Jupiler Pro League · 2019 | 25 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Young Boys | OH Leuven | €2.0M | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2026 | OH Leuven | Young Boys | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 25 Aug 2025 | Young Boys | OH Leuven | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Zaglebie Lubin | Young Boys | €1.4M | €2.0M |
| 12 Jan 2021 | Legia II | Zaglebie Lubin | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Legia U19 | Legia II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Mar 2018 | Legia Yth. | Legia U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2014 | Wisła Puławy Yt | Legia Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.