Alexis Sánchez

37 yrs · Second striker (also AM, LW, RW, ST) · Chile
Sevilla FC · Laliga · Foot: right · Height: 169 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€1.2M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€344k – €1.4M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€697k – €1.8M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€508k – €1.4M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€736k – €1.5M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€344k – €1.4M
Model value (performance-implied)€697k – €1.8M
Projected value (24 months)€508k – €1.4M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Alexis Sánchez's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-1.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.27x the positional average in the league (1300 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceAbove average69.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable37.5 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €873k vs market €1.2M
Expected appreciationLow-16% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.95
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €70.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1300 (38% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.41
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.68
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
69 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.95 (rank 2)
Team strength (Elo)
1397
Opponent strength
1523
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€508k – €1.4M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -53% to -26%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 38: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1300 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Sevilla FCLaligaSS28130038%420.420.68152313970.95
2024/25Udinese CalcioSerie ASS1343413%000.000.40147013890.99
2023/24Inter MilanSerie AST2375022%250.840.33141318020.98
2022/23Olympique MarseilleLigue 1ST35269879%1430.570.39144515680.82
2021/22Inter MilanSerie AST2786625%530.830.35143117310.89
2020/21Inter MilanSerie AST30113833%771.110.43140117480.90
2019/20Inter MilanSerie AST2291827%491.270.54139516570.82
2018/19Manchester UnitedPremier LeagueLW2087726%130.410.28152416691.22
2017/18Arsenal FCPremier LeagueAM19150744%730.600.42155816651.15
2017/18Manchester UnitedPremier LeagueLW12104931%230.430.32155717471.15
2016/17Arsenal FCPremier LeagueST38322494%24110.980.59151916811.07
2015/16Arsenal FCPremier LeagueLW30244571%1350.660.44152316781.08
2014/15Arsenal FCPremier LeagueLW35295286%1680.730.47154017291.06
2013/14FC BarcelonaLaligaRW34238170%19121.170.54151718091.19
2012/13FC BarcelonaLaligaSS29170350%8100.950.50148617701.06

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Copa Del ReySevilla FC210000—
2024/25Italy CupUdinese Calcio14500—
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueInter Milan8335201655
2023/24Supercoppa ItalianaInter Milan225001610
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueOlympique Marseille5419201642
2021/22Italy CupInter Milan528021—
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueInter Milan6155111775
2021/22Supercoppa ItalianaInter Milan145101706
2020/21Italy CupInter Milan330001—
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueInter Milan5118001672
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueInter Milan5238001516
2019/20Italy CupInter Milan417000—
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueInter Milan166011836
2018/19Uefa Champions LeagueManchester United4210001753
2018/19Fa CupManchester United315311—
2017/18Fa CupManchester United432712—
2017/18Uefa Champions LeagueManchester United2165001573
2017/18Uefa Europa LeagueArsenal FC190101477
2016/17Uefa Champions LeagueArsenal FC8665341677
2016/17Fa CupArsenal FC534133—
2015/16Uefa Champions LeagueArsenal FC7630351715
2015/16Fa CupArsenal FC319111—
2014/15Uefa Champions LeagueArsenal FC7602311598
2014/15Fa CupArsenal FC647543—
2014/15Uefa Champions League QualifyingArsenal FC2162101555
2014/15Community ShieldArsenal FC145001788
2013/14Uefa Champions LeagueFC Barcelona9467011635
2013/14Copa Del ReyFC Barcelona941523—
2013/14SupercopaFC Barcelona2155001668
2012/13Uefa Champions LeagueFC Barcelona9519131619

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Peter Crouch
Premier League · 2017
36€1.5M€1.0Mfell
Radamel Falcao
Laliga · 2022
36€2.0M€800kfell
Cristhian Stuani
Laliga · 2023
37€2.0M€1.0Mfell
Claudio Pizarro
Bundesliga · 2016
38€1.0M€500kfell
José Callejón
Laliga · 2024
37€800k€800kflat
Marco Borriello
Serie A · 2016
34€800k€400kfell
André Ayew
Ligue 1 · 2024
35€1.0M€250kfell
Sven Michel
Bundesliga · 2024
34€700k€700kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Sept 2025UdineseSevilla FCFree / loan€1.5M
10 Aug 2024InterUdineseFree / loan€2.5M
26 Aug 2023MarseilleInterFree / loan€4.0M
10 Aug 2022InterMarseilleFree / loan€3.5M
1 Sept 2020Man UtdInterFree / loan€16.0M
31 Aug 2020InterMan UtdFree / loan€16.0M
29 Aug 2019Man UtdInterFree / loan€35.0M
22 Jan 2018ArsenalMan Utd€34.0M€70.0M
10 Jul 2014BarcelonaArsenal€42.5M€30.0M
21 Jul 2011UdineseBarcelona€26.0M€25.0M
30 Jun 2008River PlateUdineseFree / loan€3.4M
15 Aug 2007UdineseRiver PlateFree / loan€50k
30 Jun 2007Colo-ColoUdineseFree / loan€50k
11 Jul 2006UdineseColo-ColoFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2006CobreloaUdinese€3.0MData unavailable
1 Jan 2005Cobreloa U21CobreloaUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.