
Alexis Sánchez
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Alexis Sánchez's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-1.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.27x the positional average in the league (1300 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Above average | 69.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 37.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €873k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -16% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1300 (38% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.41
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.68
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 69 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1397
- Opponent strength
- 1523
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €508k – €1.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -53% to -26%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 38: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1300 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | SS | 28 | 1300 | 38% | 4 | 2 | 0.42 | 0.68 | 1523 | 1397 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | SS | 13 | 434 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.40 | 1470 | 1389 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | Inter Milan | Serie A | ST | 23 | 750 | 22% | 2 | 5 | 0.84 | 0.33 | 1413 | 1802 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | Olympique Marseille | Ligue 1 | ST | 35 | 2698 | 79% | 14 | 3 | 0.57 | 0.39 | 1445 | 1568 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | Inter Milan | Serie A | ST | 27 | 866 | 25% | 5 | 3 | 0.83 | 0.35 | 1431 | 1731 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Inter Milan | Serie A | ST | 30 | 1138 | 33% | 7 | 7 | 1.11 | 0.43 | 1401 | 1748 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | Inter Milan | Serie A | ST | 22 | 918 | 27% | 4 | 9 | 1.27 | 0.54 | 1395 | 1657 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Manchester United | Premier League | LW | 20 | 877 | 26% | 1 | 3 | 0.41 | 0.28 | 1524 | 1669 | 1.22 |
| 2017/18 | Arsenal FC | Premier League | AM | 19 | 1507 | 44% | 7 | 3 | 0.60 | 0.42 | 1558 | 1665 | 1.15 |
| 2017/18 | Manchester United | Premier League | LW | 12 | 1049 | 31% | 2 | 3 | 0.43 | 0.32 | 1557 | 1747 | 1.15 |
| 2016/17 | Arsenal FC | Premier League | ST | 38 | 3224 | 94% | 24 | 11 | 0.98 | 0.59 | 1519 | 1681 | 1.07 |
| 2015/16 | Arsenal FC | Premier League | LW | 30 | 2445 | 71% | 13 | 5 | 0.66 | 0.44 | 1523 | 1678 | 1.08 |
| 2014/15 | Arsenal FC | Premier League | LW | 35 | 2952 | 86% | 16 | 8 | 0.73 | 0.47 | 1540 | 1729 | 1.06 |
| 2013/14 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | RW | 34 | 2381 | 70% | 19 | 12 | 1.17 | 0.54 | 1517 | 1809 | 1.19 |
| 2012/13 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | SS | 29 | 1703 | 50% | 8 | 10 | 0.95 | 0.50 | 1486 | 1770 | 1.06 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 2 | 100 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Inter Milan | 8 | 335 | 2 | 0 | 1655 |
| 2023/24 | Supercoppa Italiana | Inter Milan | 2 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1610 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Olympique Marseille | 5 | 419 | 2 | 0 | 1642 |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Inter Milan | 5 | 280 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Inter Milan | 6 | 155 | 1 | 1 | 1775 |
| 2021/22 | Supercoppa Italiana | Inter Milan | 1 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 1706 |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Inter Milan | 3 | 300 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Inter Milan | 5 | 118 | 0 | 0 | 1672 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Inter Milan | 5 | 238 | 0 | 0 | 1516 |
| 2019/20 | Italy Cup | Inter Milan | 4 | 170 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Inter Milan | 1 | 66 | 0 | 1 | 1836 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester United | 4 | 210 | 0 | 0 | 1753 |
| 2018/19 | Fa Cup | Manchester United | 3 | 153 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2017/18 | Fa Cup | Manchester United | 4 | 327 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester United | 2 | 165 | 0 | 0 | 1573 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Arsenal FC | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1477 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League | Arsenal FC | 8 | 665 | 3 | 4 | 1677 |
| 2016/17 | Fa Cup | Arsenal FC | 5 | 341 | 3 | 3 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Champions League | Arsenal FC | 7 | 630 | 3 | 5 | 1715 |
| 2015/16 | Fa Cup | Arsenal FC | 3 | 191 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Champions League | Arsenal FC | 7 | 602 | 3 | 1 | 1598 |
| 2014/15 | Fa Cup | Arsenal FC | 6 | 475 | 4 | 3 | — |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Arsenal FC | 2 | 162 | 1 | 0 | 1555 |
| 2014/15 | Community Shield | Arsenal FC | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1788 |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 9 | 467 | 0 | 1 | 1635 |
| 2013/14 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 9 | 415 | 2 | 3 | — |
| 2013/14 | Supercopa | FC Barcelona | 2 | 155 | 0 | 0 | 1668 |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 9 | 519 | 1 | 3 | 1619 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Crouch Premier League · 2017 | 36 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Radamel Falcao Laliga · 2022 | 36 | €2.0M | €800k | fell |
| Cristhian Stuani Laliga · 2023 | 37 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Claudio Pizarro Bundesliga · 2016 | 38 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| José Callejón Laliga · 2024 | 37 | €800k | €800k | flat |
| Marco Borriello Serie A · 2016 | 34 | €800k | €400k | fell |
| André Ayew Ligue 1 · 2024 | 35 | €1.0M | €250k | fell |
| Sven Michel Bundesliga · 2024 | 34 | €700k | €700k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sept 2025 | Udinese | Sevilla FC | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 10 Aug 2024 | Inter | Udinese | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 26 Aug 2023 | Marseille | Inter | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 10 Aug 2022 | Inter | Marseille | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 1 Sept 2020 | Man Utd | Inter | Free / loan | €16.0M |
| 31 Aug 2020 | Inter | Man Utd | Free / loan | €16.0M |
| 29 Aug 2019 | Man Utd | Inter | Free / loan | €35.0M |
| 22 Jan 2018 | Arsenal | Man Utd | €34.0M | €70.0M |
| 10 Jul 2014 | Barcelona | Arsenal | €42.5M | €30.0M |
| 21 Jul 2011 | Udinese | Barcelona | €26.0M | €25.0M |
| 30 Jun 2008 | River Plate | Udinese | Free / loan | €3.4M |
| 15 Aug 2007 | Udinese | River Plate | Free / loan | €50k |
| 30 Jun 2007 | Colo-Colo | Udinese | Free / loan | €50k |
| 11 Jul 2006 | Udinese | Colo-Colo | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2006 | Cobreloa | Udinese | €3.0M | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2005 | Cobreloa U21 | Cobreloa | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.