Sergiy Buletsa

27 yrs · Attacking midfielder (also LW) · Ukraine
FC Oleksandriya · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 172 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€500k
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€124k – €360k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€361k – €666k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€226k – €639k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€726 – €542k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€124k – €360k
Model value (performance-implied)€361k – €666k
Projected value (24 months)€226k – €639k
Dashed line: current market value (€500k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Sergiy Buletsa's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.06x the positional average in the league (1584 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 91

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average6.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral27.4 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €165k vs market €500k
Expected appreciationLow-18% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €2.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1584 (59% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.40
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.42
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
7 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1068
Opponent strength
1150
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€226k – €639k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -41% to -15%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1584 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
37 (all positions)
Relative output kept
87%–128%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
86%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaAM24158459%160.400.43115010680.25
2024/25FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaAM2783%000.000.24108713090.28
2022/23Zorya LuganskPremier LigaAM28217481%790.660.43126314060.38
2021/22Zorya LuganskPremier LigaAM16135283%230.330.33126814260.45
2020/21SC Dnipro-1Premier LigaLW1999743%310.360.49130112830.49
2019/20SC Dnipro-1Premier LigaAM1899150%220.360.43130512540.54

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Ukrainian CupFC Oleksandriya14501—
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingFC Oleksandriya128001332
2022/23Uefa Conference League QualifyingZorya Lugansk2180001363
2021/22Uefa Europa League QualifyingZorya Lugansk2148011459
2021/22Ukrainian CupZorya Lugansk111400—
2020/21Ukrainian CupSC Dnipro-1323522—
2019/20Ukrainian CupSC Dnipro-1211210—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Alper Potuk
Super Lig · 2021
30€350k€200kfell
Orest Kuzyk
Premier Liga · 2023
28€500k€300kfell
Vladyslav Klymenko
Premier Liga · 2023
29€400k€300kfell
Brad Lyons
Scottish Premiership · 2024
27€350k€350kflat
David Cancola
Scottish Premiership · 2023
27€375k€300kfell
Andreas Lampropoulos
Super League 1 · 2015
27€500k€300kfell
August Erlingmark
Super League 1 · 2023
25€700k€800kflat
Sergiy Petko
Premier Liga · 2024
30€300k€150kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
11 Mar 2025Dynamo KyivFC Oleksandriya€500k€600k
7 Mar 2025Lechia GdanskDynamo KyivFree / loan€600k
12 Jul 2024Dynamo KyivLechia GdanskFree / loan€1.2M
30 Jun 2024Zaglebie LubinDynamo KyivFree / loan€1.2M
26 Jul 2023Dynamo KyivZaglebie LubinFree / loan€2.0M
30 Jun 2023Zorya LuganskDynamo KyivFree / loan€2.0M
1 Jul 2021Dynamo KyivZorya LuganskFree / loan€600k
30 Jun 2021SC Dnipro-1Dynamo KyivFree / loan€600k
31 Aug 2020Dynamo KyivSC Dnipro-1Free / loan€625k
1 Aug 2020Dynamo Kyiv IIDynamo KyivUnknown€625k
31 Jul 2020SC Dnipro-1Dynamo Kyiv IIFree / loan€625k
1 Jul 2019Dynamo Kyiv IISC Dnipro-1Free / loan€600k
1 Jul 2016Dynamo Kyiv U19Dynamo Kyiv IIUnknownData unavailable
1 Feb 2016Dynamo Kyiv U17Dynamo Kyiv U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.