
Sergiy Buletsa
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Sergiy Buletsa's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.06x the positional average in the league (1584 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 91
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 6.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €165k vs market €500k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -18% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1584 (59% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.40
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.42
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 7 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1068
- Opponent strength
- 1150
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €226k – €639k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -41% to -15%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1584 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | AM | 24 | 1584 | 59% | 1 | 6 | 0.40 | 0.43 | 1150 | 1068 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | AM | 2 | 78 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 1087 | 1309 | 0.28 |
| 2022/23 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | AM | 28 | 2174 | 81% | 7 | 9 | 0.66 | 0.43 | 1263 | 1406 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | AM | 16 | 1352 | 83% | 2 | 3 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 1268 | 1426 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | SC Dnipro-1 | Premier Liga | LW | 19 | 997 | 43% | 3 | 1 | 0.36 | 0.49 | 1301 | 1283 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | SC Dnipro-1 | Premier Liga | AM | 18 | 991 | 50% | 2 | 2 | 0.36 | 0.43 | 1305 | 1254 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 1 | 45 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Oleksandriya | 1 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1332 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1363 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 148 | 0 | 1 | 1459 |
| 2021/22 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 114 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | SC Dnipro-1 | 3 | 235 | 2 | 2 | — |
| 2019/20 | Ukrainian Cup | SC Dnipro-1 | 2 | 112 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alper Potuk Super Lig · 2021 | 30 | €350k | €200k | fell |
| Orest Kuzyk Premier Liga · 2023 | 28 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Vladyslav Klymenko Premier Liga · 2023 | 29 | €400k | €300k | fell |
| Brad Lyons Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 27 | €350k | €350k | flat |
| David Cancola Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 27 | €375k | €300k | fell |
| Andreas Lampropoulos Super League 1 · 2015 | 27 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| August Erlingmark Super League 1 · 2023 | 25 | €700k | €800k | flat |
| Sergiy Petko Premier Liga · 2024 | 30 | €300k | €150k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2025 | Dynamo Kyiv | FC Oleksandriya | €500k | €600k |
| 7 Mar 2025 | Lechia Gdansk | Dynamo Kyiv | Free / loan | €600k |
| 12 Jul 2024 | Dynamo Kyiv | Lechia Gdansk | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Zaglebie Lubin | Dynamo Kyiv | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 26 Jul 2023 | Dynamo Kyiv | Zaglebie Lubin | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Zorya Lugansk | Dynamo Kyiv | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Dynamo Kyiv | Zorya Lugansk | Free / loan | €600k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | SC Dnipro-1 | Dynamo Kyiv | Free / loan | €600k |
| 31 Aug 2020 | Dynamo Kyiv | SC Dnipro-1 | Free / loan | €625k |
| 1 Aug 2020 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Dynamo Kyiv | Unknown | €625k |
| 31 Jul 2020 | SC Dnipro-1 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Free / loan | €625k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Dynamo Kyiv II | SC Dnipro-1 | Free / loan | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Feb 2016 | Dynamo Kyiv U17 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.