
Denis Drăguș
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Denis Drăguș's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-1.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-1.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-2.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.72x the positional average in the league (1202 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 61
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 12.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.1M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -41% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1202 (39% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.07
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.24
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 13 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1194
- Opponent strength
- 1295
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €766k – €2.2M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-113 Elo); role change LW -> RW.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -10% (IQR -40% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1202 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 79%–133%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 58%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Eyüpspor | Super Lig | RW | 12 | 878 | 29% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 1295 | 1204 | 0.40 |
| 2025/26 | Gaziantep FK | Super Lig | ST | 11 | 324 | 11% | 0 | 1 | 0.28 | 0.51 | 1289 | 1167 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | LW | 18 | 914 | 28% | 2 | 1 | 0.30 | 0.34 | 1291 | 1307 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Gaziantep FK | Super Lig | ST | 32 | 2757 | 81% | 14 | 2 | 0.52 | 0.71 | 1289 | 1212 | 0.45 |
| 2023/24 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 6 | 315 | 12% | 1 | 0 | 0.29 | 0.49 | 1326 | 1334 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 19 | 997 | 33% | 4 | 0 | 0.36 | 0.47 | 1324 | 1381 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 28 | 1168 | 38% | 6 | 2 | 0.62 | 0.55 | 1338 | 1248 | 0.49 |
| 2020/21 | FC Crotone | Serie A | ST | 9 | 171 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.63 | 1501 | 1253 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 2 | 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.42 | 1374 | 1458 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Trabzonspor | 4 | 288 | 1 | 0 | 1379 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Trabzonspor | 2 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 1443 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FCV Farul Constanta | 1 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1478 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anastasios Chatzigiovanis Super Lig · 2024 | 27 | €1.8M | €900k | fell |
| Ramazan Civelek Super Lig · 2022 | 26 | €1.1M | €1.0M | flat |
| Christian Bassogog Super Lig · 2024 | 29 | €1.5M | €900k | fell |
| Alassane Ndao Super Lig · 2023 | 27 | €2.2M | €1.3M | fell |
| Zymer Bytyqi Super Lig · 2024 | 28 | €3.0M | €3.0M | flat |
| Aleksandr Zuev Premier Liga · 2022 | 26 | €1.0M | €900k | flat |
| Riad Bajic Super Lig · 2020 | 26 | €1.4M | €1.5M | flat |
| Mustapha Bundu Superliga · 2022 | 25 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Gaziantep FK | Trabzonspor | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 9 Jan 2026 | Trabzonspor | Gaziantep FK | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 8 Jan 2026 | Eyüpspor | Trabzonspor | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 18 Jul 2025 | Trabzonspor | Eyüpspor | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Standard Liège | Trabzonspor | €1.7M | €4.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Gaziantep FK | Standard Liège | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 13 Sept 2023 | Standard Liège | Gaziantep FK | Free / loan | €1.4M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Genoa | Standard Liège | Free / loan | €1.4M |
| 26 Jan 2023 | Standard Liège | Genoa | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Crotone | Standard Liège | Free / loan | €900k |
| 15 Sept 2020 | Standard Liège | Crotone | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 7 Aug 2019 | FC Viitorul | Standard Liège | €1.8M | €2.0M |
| 1 Aug 2017 | FC Viitorul U19 | FC Viitorul | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Academia Hagi | FC Viitorul U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Pro Luceafărul | Academia Hagi | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.