Jamie Brandon
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jamie Brandon's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.3M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 0.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €75k vs market €250k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -11% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 676 (23% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 0 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1104
- Opponent strength
- 1184
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €189k – €280k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -11% to +7%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 676 league minutes last season.
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 11 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 16 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 90%–275%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 75%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kilmarnock FC | Scottish Premiership | RB | 11 | 676 | 23% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1184 | 1104 | 0.31 |
| 2023/24 | Livingston FC | Scottish Premiership | RB | 28 | 1783 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1286 | 1041 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Livingston FC | Scottish Premiership | RB | 5 | 54 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1266 | 1186 | 0.40 |
| 2019/20 | Heart of Midlothian FC | Scottish Premiership | RB | 9 | 564 | 21% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1384 | 1231 | 0.52 |
| 2018/19 | Heart of Midlothian FC | Scottish Premiership | RB | 5 | 293 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1382 | 1277 | 0.44 |
| 2017/18 | Heart of Midlothian FC | Scottish Premiership | LB | 12 | 924 | 31% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1339 | 1324 | 0.47 |
| 2016/17 | Heart of Midlothian FC | Scottish Premiership | RM | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.45 | 1634 | 1279 | 0.48 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023/24 | Scottish Fa Cup | Livingston FC | 3 | 300 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2021/22 | Scottish Fa Cup | Greenock Morton FC | 1 | 76 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maksym Lopyryonok Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €300k | €175k | fell |
| Dmytro Fateev Premier Liga · 2024 | 30 | €200k | €200k | flat |
| Michee Efete Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 27 | €150k | €150k | flat |
| Dimitrios Konstantinidis Super League 1 · 2023 | 29 | €250k | €250k | flat |
| David Keltjens Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 29 | €400k | €250k | fell |
| James McGarry Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 26 | €300k | €400k | rose |
| Pascal Gregor Superliga · 2021 | 27 | €250k | €350k | rose |
| Nikolai Alho Super League 1 · 2022 | 29 | €400k | €400k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Livingston FC | Kilmarnock FC | Free / loan | €225k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Heart of Midl. | Livingston FC | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 May 2022 | Morton | Heart of Midl. | Free / loan | €200k |
| 10 Jan 2022 | Heart of Midl. | Morton | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Hearts FC U20 | Heart of Midl. | Unknown | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Rangers U20 | Hearts FC U20 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Rangers FC U17 | Rangers U20 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.