Leroy Abanda
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Leroy Abanda's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.6M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 1.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €262k vs market €450k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -17% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 699 (30% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.13
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.23
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 1 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1129
- Opponent strength
- 1254
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €253k – €563k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -13% to +36%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 699 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Volou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos | Super League 1 | LB | 11 | 699 | 30% | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.23 | 1254 | 1129 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | Super League 1 | LB | 11 | 300 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1418 | 1196 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | Super League 1 | LB | 21 | 1214 | 52% | 1 | 3 | 0.30 | 0.26 | 1278 | 1173 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | PAS Lamia 1964 | Super League 1 | LB | 8 | 720 | 31% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1236 | 1056 | 0.37 |
| 2022/23 | RFC Seraing | Jupiler Pro League | LB | 17 | 679 | 22% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1340 | 1128 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Volou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos | 1 | 82 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | 5 | 365 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | 4 | 350 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | PAS Lamia 1964 | 2 | 84 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauricio Lemos Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 27 | €500k | €1.5M | rose |
| Mateo Muzek Super League 1 · 2021 | 26 | €350k | €300k | flat |
| Jordi Osei-Tutu Super League 1 · 2024 | 26 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Ilias Chatzitheodoridis Super League 1 · 2023 | 26 | €350k | €500k | rose |
| Giannis Skondras Scottish Premiership · 2017 | 27 | €700k | €450k | fell |
| Ignacio Fideleff Super League 1 · 2015 | 26 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Taras Sakiv Premier Liga · 2023 | 26 | €400k | €350k | flat |
| Nikolaos Vafeas Super League 1 · 2021 | 24 | €300k | €400k | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jan 2026 | Le Mans FC | Volos NFC | Free / loan | €400k |
| 28 Jul 2025 | Suwon FC | Le Mans FC | Free / loan | €500k |
| 27 Jan 2025 | OFI Crete | Suwon FC | €100k | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2023 | RFC Seraing | OFI Crete | Free / loan | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2023 | PAS Lamia | RFC Seraing | Free / loan | €400k |
| 14 Jan 2023 | RFC Seraing | PAS Lamia | Free / loan | €400k |
| 28 Jul 2022 | AC Milan | RFC Seraing | Free / loan | €300k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | US Boulogne | AC Milan | Free / loan | €300k |
| 31 Aug 2021 | AC Milan | US Boulogne | Free / loan | €150k |
| 4 Aug 2020 | Neuchâtel Xamax | AC Milan | Free / loan | €150k |
| 5 Feb 2020 | Milan U19 | Neuchâtel Xamax | Free / loan | €100k |
| 25 Jan 2019 | Monaco U19 | Milan U19 | €400k | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Monaco Youth | Monaco U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.