Abdoulaye Sissako

28 yrs · Defensive midfielder · France
Sint-Truidense VV · Jupiler Pro League · Foot: right · Height: 181 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€2.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€863k – €2.4M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.2M – €3.2M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€904k – €2.4M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.2M – €2.3M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€863k – €2.4M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.2M – €3.2M
Projected value (24 months)€904k – €2.4M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Abdoulaye Sissako's performance-implied value at EUR 1.2M-3.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.9M-2.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-2.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.23x the positional average in the league (2471 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 60

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage42.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable28.1 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €1.5M vs market €2.0M
Expected appreciationLow-19% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.65
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €2.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2471 (92% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.15
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.15
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
43 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.65 (rank 6)
Team strength (Elo)
1401
Opponent strength
1382
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€904k – €2.4M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 33 pts; changed club; team strength up (+201 Elo); relative output down 31% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -67% to -25%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
60 (MID)
Relative output kept
63%–142%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
72%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Sint-Truidense VVJupiler Pro LeagueDM30247192%130.150.15138214010.65
2024/25KV KortrijkJupiler Pro LeagueDM24158159%210.170.23139212010.63
2023/24KV KortrijkJupiler Pro LeagueDM25189770%010.050.14139711870.63
2022/23Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro LeagueDM31236577%110.080.13132312000.58
2021/22Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro LeagueDM18128042%220.280.24135911990.49
2020/21Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro LeagueDM2063021%010.140.13137212900.55
2019/20Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro LeagueDM20126548%140.360.23137513060.63

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Jupiler Pro League Playoff ISint-Truidense VV10879101463

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Oleksandr Karavaev
Premier Liga · 2019
27€2.5M€5.0Mrose
Soner Aydoğdu
Super Lig · 2018
27€2.0M€1.4Mfell
Jordan Botaka
Jupiler Pro League · 2019
26€1.5M€1.4Mflat
Denys Dedechko
Premier Liga · 2014
27€1.8M€1.0Mfell
Damien Marcq
Jupiler Pro League · 2017
29€1.7M€600kfell
Nuno Coelho
Liga Portugal · 2016
29€1.5M€400kfell
Artem Gromov
Premier Liga · 2015
25€1.8M€800kfell
Pavlo Ksyonz
Premier Liga · 2015
28€2.5M€600kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2025KV KortrijkSint-Truiden€500k€700k
14 Aug 2023Zulte WaregemKV KortrijkUnknown€650k
29 Aug 2019LB ChâteaurouxZulte WaregemUnknown€800k
4 Sept 2018AJ AuxerreLB ChâteaurouxFree / loan€300k
1 Jul 2016AJ Auxerre U19AJ AuxerreUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2015AJ Auxerre U17AJ Auxerre U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2013AJ Auxerre Yth.AJ Auxerre U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Racing CFF Yth.AJ Auxerre Yth.Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.