
Vladyslav Supryaga
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Vladyslav Supryaga's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.17x the positional average in the league (947 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 95
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 1.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €169k vs market €400k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -9% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 947 (35% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.38
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.60
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 2 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1091
- Opponent strength
- 1162
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €195k – €515k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -15% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 947 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 18 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 94%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Epicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi | Premier Liga | ST | 22 | 947 | 35% | 3 | 1 | 0.38 | 0.60 | 1162 | 1091 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | ST | 9 | 152 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.49 | 1141 | 1182 | 0.28 |
| 2024/25 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | ST | 2 | 98 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.32 | 1157 | 1406 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | ST | 8 | 54 | 2% | 0 | 2 | 3.33 | 0.59 | 1270 | 1458 | 0.34 |
| 2021/22 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | ST | 3 | 116 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.23 | 1208 | 1532 | 0.45 |
| 2021/22 | UC Sampdoria | Serie A | ST | 1 | 24 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 1465 | 1375 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | ST | 17 | 875 | 37% | 2 | 2 | 0.41 | 0.29 | 1245 | 1563 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | SC Dnipro-1 | Premier Liga | ST | 17 | 1154 | 58% | 8 | 1 | 0.70 | 0.85 | 1364 | 1254 | 0.54 |
| 2018/19 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | ST | 6 | 197 | 10% | 0 | 1 | 0.46 | 0.36 | 1320 | 1528 | 0.57 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Epicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1283 |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 63 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1542 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 1756 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 308 | 0 | 0 | 1606 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 230 | 1 | 2 | 1496 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 1665 |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 35 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Ukrainian Cup | SC Dnipro-1 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1641 |
| 2018/19 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1472 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zak Rudden Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 24 | €350k | €350k | flat |
| Nadrey Dago Super League 1 · 2023 | 26 | €350k | €300k | flat |
| Toyosi Olusanya Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 27 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Eamonn Brophy Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 28 | €450k | €125k | fell |
| Adama Sidibeh Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 26 | €250k | €300k | rose |
| Sergiy Sukhanov Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €300k | €250k | flat |
| Diallang Jaiyesimi Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 26 | €225k | €225k | flat |
| Eynel Soares Premier Liga · 2024 | 26 | €400k | €400k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Epicentr | Dynamo Kyiv | Free / loan | €400k |
| 22 Aug 2025 | Dynamo Kyiv | Epicentr | Free / loan | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Zorya Lugansk | Dynamo Kyiv | Free / loan | €400k |
| 6 Sept 2024 | Dynamo Kyiv | Zorya Lugansk | Free / loan | €600k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Sampdoria | Dynamo Kyiv | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 30 Jan 2022 | Dynamo Kyiv | Sampdoria | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 31 Jul 2020 | SC Dnipro-1 | Dynamo Kyiv | Free / loan | €2.7M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Dynamo Kyiv | SC Dnipro-1 | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 10 Aug 2018 | SC Dnipro-1 | Dynamo Kyiv | €6.5M | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Dnipro II | SC Dnipro-1 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Dnipro U17 | Dnipro II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.