Ghislain Konan

30 yrs · Left-back (also LM) · Cote d'Ivoire
Gil Vicente FC · Liga Portugal · Foot: left · Height: 176 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2026
Market value
€3.0M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€711k – €3.3M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€510k – €918k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€965k – €2.2M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€2.8M – €206k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€711k – €3.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€510k – €918k
Projected value (24 months)€965k – €2.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Ghislain Konan's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-0.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-3.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-2.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: 17

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage37.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.5 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €1.9M vs market €3.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-53% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.58
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €8.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2661 (87% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.05
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
38 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.58 (rank 9)
Team strength (Elo)
1303
Opponent strength
1323
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€965k – €2.2M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -48% (IQR -63% to -42%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
66 (DEF)
Relative output kept
57%–168%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
76%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Gil Vicente FCLiga PortugalLB30266187%000.000.05132313030.58
2021/22Stade ReimsLigue 1LM28242271%130.150.20142214170.86
2020/21Stade ReimsLigue 1LB31261376%210.100.12144813730.75
2019/20Stade ReimsLigue 1LB16133353%010.070.11140914510.82
2018/19Stade ReimsLigue 1LB20180053%010.050.10146814210.82
2017/18Vitória Guimarães SCLiga PortugalLB25221872%020.080.10135313350.64
2016/17Vitória Guimarães SCLiga PortugalLB20180059%000.000.04136513960.58

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26World CupIvory Coast218000—
2020/21Uefa Europa League QualifyingStade Reims2210001463
2017/18Uefa Europa LeagueVitória Guimarães SC5450001515

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Dmitriy Tikhiy
Premier Liga · 2021
29€1.5M€800kfell
Ramon Zomer
Eredivisie · 2013
30€1.5M€450kfell
Jordens Peters
Eredivisie · 2017
30€1.3M€750kfell
Jean-Armel Kana-Biyik
Super Lig · 2019
30€1.3M€750kfell
Jordi Amat
Jupiler Pro League · 2021
29€1.4M€900kfell
Lamine Gassama
Super Lig · 2019
30€1.0M€400kfell
Marcelo
Liga Portugal · 2018
29€3.0M€400kfell
Tiago Lopes
Super Lig · 2018
29€1.3M€650kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2025Burgos CFGil VicenteFree / loan€1.0M
30 Jan 2025Without ClubBurgos CFUnknown€5.0M
7 Sept 2024Al-NassrWithout ClubUnknown€6.0M
30 Jun 2024Al-FayhaAl-NassrFree / loan€6.0M
3 Sept 2023Al-NassrAl-FayhaFree / loan€8.0M
7 Jul 2022Stade ReimsAl-NassrFree / loan€7.0M
1 Jul 2018Vit. GuimarãesStade Reims€4.0M€2.0M
1 Jan 2017Guimarães BVit. GuimarãesUnknown€100k
28 Jan 2016ASEC MimosasGuimarães BUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2013Mimosas U19ASEC MimosasUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.