Edgar Sevikyan
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Edgar Sevikyan's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.86x the positional average in the league (552 minutes, league coefficient 0.56). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 17.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €541k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -14% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 552 (20% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.16
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.34
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 18 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1212
- Opponent strength
- 1358
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €485k – €1.7M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-201 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +29% (IQR -42% to +80%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 552 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 20 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 50%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Akron Togliatti | Premier Liga | RW | 13 | 552 | 20% | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | 0.34 | 1358 | 1212 | 0.56 |
| 2024/25 | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | Premier Liga | RW | 14 | 490 | 18% | 0 | 2 | 0.37 | 0.34 | 1270 | 1413 | 0.55 |
| 2023/24 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | Premier Liga | ST | 18 | 1165 | 43% | 4 | 0 | 0.31 | 0.50 | 1342 | 1164 | 0.49 |
| 2022/23 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | Premier Liga | AM | 10 | 414 | 15% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.26 | 1310 | 1226 | 0.53 |
| 2020/21 | Levante UD | Laliga | RW | 1 | 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.51 | 1555 | 1461 | 1.10 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | Akron Togliatti | 2 | 81 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Ferencvárosi TC | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1391 |
| 2024/25 | Russian Cup | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | 6 | 333 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Ferencvárosi TC | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1478 |
| 2023/24 | Russian Cup | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 6 | 347 | 3 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Russian Cup | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 4 | 120 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | Levante UD | 1 | 32 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Érick Moreno Liga Portugal · 2017 | 26 | €750k | €125k | fell |
| Salim Cissé Liga Portugal · 2016 | 24 | €850k | €200k | fell |
| Richmond Boakye Eredivisie · 2016 | 23 | €1.5M | €4.5M | rose |
| Fernando Aristeguieta Liga Portugal · 2017 | 25 | €750k | €1.5M | rose |
| Maciej Makuszewski Liga Portugal · 2016 | 27 | €750k | €1.3M | rose |
| Crislan Liga Portugal · 2017 | 25 | €800k | €800k | flat |
| Chinonso Offor Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 23 | €600k | €1.0M | rose |
| Nestoras Mytidis Eredivisie · 2017 | 26 | €450k | €350k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Akron Tolyatti | Ferencváros | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 10 Sept 2025 | Ferencváros | Akron Tolyatti | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Loko Moscow | Ferencváros | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 6 Sept 2024 | Ferencváros | Loko Moscow | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 17 Jan 2024 | Pari NN | Ferencváros | €1.2M | €1.8M |
| 6 Jul 2022 | Atl. Levante | Pari NN | Free / loan | €600k |
| 1 Jan 2020 | Levante U19 | Atl. Levante | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Levante UD Yout | Levante U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Ak. Loko U17 | Levante UD Yout | Unknown | €225k |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.