Alimami Gory
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Alimami Gory's performance-implied value at EUR 1.4M-3.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.50x the positional average in the league (978 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 75
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 49.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €533k vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -36% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 978 (32% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.64
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.61
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 50 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1454
- Opponent strength
- 1469
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €567k – €1.5M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -39% (IQR -51% to -15%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 978 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Paris FC | Ligue 1 | LW | 24 | 978 | 32% | 5 | 2 | 0.64 | 0.61 | 1469 | 1454 | 0.88 |
| 2020/21 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 2 | 31 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.48 | 1350 | 1228 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 19 | 1152 | 44% | 2 | 2 | 0.31 | 0.61 | 1387 | 1202 | 0.63 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Ekuban Serie A · 2024 | 30 | €1.5M | €1.2M | fell |
| Diniyar Bilyaletdinov Premier Liga · 2014 | 29 | €1.8M | €800k | fell |
| Toni Villa Laliga · 2023 | 28 | €2.5M | €800k | fell |
| Nicola Sansone Serie A · 2022 | 31 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Luton Shelton Super Lig · 2013 | 28 | €2.5M | €1.4M | fell |
| Ladji Keita Liga Portugal · 2013 | 30 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Juanito Gómez Serie A · 2014 | 29 | €3.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Nikola Dovedan Bundesliga · 2024 | 30 | €800k | €800k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2022 | Cercle Brugge | Paris FC | Unknown | €800k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Paris FC | Cercle Brugge | Free / loan | €800k |
| 31 Aug 2021 | Cercle Brugge | Paris FC | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Troyes | Cercle Brugge | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 5 Oct 2020 | Cercle Brugge | Troyes | Free / loan | €950k |
| 19 Aug 2019 | Le Havre AC | Cercle Brugge | €800k | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Le Havre B | Le Havre AC | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.