Tim Freriks
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Tim Freriks's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.98x the positional average in the league (1107 minutes, league coefficient 0.47). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 81
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 8.9th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €400k vs market €550k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -0% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1107 (56% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.41
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.49
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 9 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1286
- Opponent strength
- 1253
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €306k – €781k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -21% (IQR -37% to +16%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1107 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 20 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 78%–121%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 65%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Viborg FF | Superliga | ST | 18 | 1107 | 56% | 4 | 1 | 0.41 | 0.50 | 1253 | 1286 | 0.47 |
| 2018/19 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | ST | 4 | 41 | 1% | 0 | 1 | 2.20 | 0.61 | 1387 | 1356 | 0.61 |
| 2018/19 | Heracles Almelo | Eredivisie | ST | 1 | 24 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.42 | 1292 | 1302 | 0.61 |
| 2018/19 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | ST | 1 | 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 1307 | 1502 | 0.61 |
| 2017/18 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | ST | 1 | 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.92 | 1620 | 1346 | 0.59 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | Viborg FF | 4 | 190 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Knvb Beker | FC Groningen | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarck N'Sikulu Super League 1 · 2020 | 28 | €550k | €300k | fell |
| Bashkim Kadrii Superliga · 2019 | 28 | €700k | €600k | flat |
| Rory Loy Scottish Premiership · 2016 | 28 | €350k | €225k | fell |
| Nicklas Helenius Superliga · 2019 | 28 | €600k | €350k | fell |
| Jermaine Hylton Scottish Premiership · 2020 | 27 | €300k | €350k | flat |
| Sinan Bakış Eredivisie · 2021 | 27 | €700k | €2.0M | rose |
| Osman Sow Scottish Premiership · 2016 | 26 | €550k | €400k | fell |
| Stevie May Scottish Premiership · 2020 | 28 | €325k | €375k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2025 | Esbjerg fB | Viborg FF | €625k | €450k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Akademisk BK | Esbjerg fB | Unknown | €150k |
| 20 Jul 2023 | Katwijk | Akademisk BK | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | OFC | Katwijk | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Utrecht U21 | OFC | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jan 2019 | Groningen U21 | Utrecht U21 | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Groningen U19 | Groningen U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | KFC U19 | Groningen U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | KFC Youth | KFC U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.