Ylber Ramadani
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ylber Ramadani's performance-implied value at EUR 2.1M-6.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-1.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.62x the positional average in the league (3215 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 41
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 68.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.1M vs market €1.8M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -42% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 3215 (94% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.03
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.08
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 69 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1352
- Opponent strength
- 1500
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €778k – €1.6M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 41 pts; relative output down 45% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -56% (IQR -68% to -30%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | US Lecce | Serie A | DM | 37 | 3215 | 94% | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 1500 | 1352 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | US Lecce | Serie A | DM | 29 | 1814 | 53% | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 1511 | 1351 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | US Lecce | Serie A | DM | 34 | 2977 | 87% | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 1503 | 1359 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | Aberdeen FC | Scottish Premiership | DM | 32 | 2872 | 97% | 1 | 2 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 1308 | 1284 | 0.40 |
| 2020/21 | Vejle Boldklub | Superliga | DM | 20 | 1442 | 73% | 1 | 2 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 1292 | 1155 | 0.43 |
| 2018/19 | Vejle Boldklub | Superliga | DM | 22 | 1872 | 80% | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.09 | 1289 | 1169 | 0.44 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | US Lecce | 1 | 34 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | US Lecce | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | US Lecce | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Scottish Fa Cup | Aberdeen FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Oddset Pokalen | Vejle Boldklub | 3 | 195 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Oddset Pokalen | Vejle Boldklub | 1 | 64 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| György Garics Serie A · 2014 | 30 | €1.5M | €750k | fell |
| Dmitriy Torbinski Premier Liga · 2015 | 31 | €1.8M | €300k | fell |
| Artur Ioniță Serie A · 2021 | 31 | €1.8M | €700k | fell |
| Adem Kocak Super Lig · 2014 | 31 | €1.8M | €500k | fell |
| Darren Fletcher Premier League · 2016 | 32 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Romain Amalfitano Ligue 1 · 2018 | 29 | €2.0M | €1.6M | fell |
| Braga Liga Portugal · 2014 | 31 | €1.5M | €500k | fell |
| Haris Belkebla Ligue 1 · 2023 | 29 | €3.0M | €2.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2023 | Aberdeen FC | Lecce | €1.2M | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | MTK Budapest | Aberdeen FC | €120k | €450k |
| 12 Jul 2021 | Vejle BK | MTK Budapest | Free / loan | €450k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | FK Partizani | Vejle BK | €200k | €300k |
| 1 Jan 2016 | FC Drita | FK Partizani | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | FC Prishtina | FC Drita | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2015 | FC Ferizaj | FC Prishtina | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Prishtina U19 | FC Ferizaj | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.