
Daan Heymans
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Daan Heymans's performance-implied value at EUR 3.6M-7.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.9M-7.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.5M-6.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.18x the positional average in the league (1649 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 28
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 69th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €5.2M vs market €6.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -28% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1649 (61% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.66
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.48
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 69 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1471
- Opponent strength
- 1367
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.5M – €6.2M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 32 pts; changed club; team strength up (+157 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -56% to -19%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1649 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 22 | 1649 | 61% | 8 | 4 | 0.65 | 0.48 | 1367 | 1471 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 29 | 2518 | 93% | 11 | 1 | 0.43 | 0.53 | 1383 | 1315 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 29 | 1667 | 62% | 1 | 2 | 0.16 | 0.29 | 1385 | 1268 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 33 | 1700 | 56% | 6 | 1 | 0.37 | 0.39 | 1312 | 1348 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 10 | 614 | 20% | 2 | 1 | 0.44 | 0.38 | 1354 | 1331 | 0.49 |
| 2021/22 | Venezia FC | Serie A | CM | 7 | 253 | 7% | 0 | 1 | 0.36 | 0.29 | 1426 | 1241 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | SK Beveren | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 30 | 2142 | 70% | 8 | 4 | 0.50 | 0.57 | 1360 | 1187 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | SK Beveren | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 5 | 236 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 1294 | 1187 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | SK Beveren | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 2 | 56 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.38 | 1307 | 1276 | 0.65 |
| 2016/17 | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 1 | 20 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.38 | 1319 | 1225 | 0.62 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | KRC Genk | 10 | 810 | 4 | 4 | 1445 |
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | KRC Genk | 8 | 608 | 2 | 0 | 1336 |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Venezia FC | 3 | 209 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tonny Vilhena Premier Liga · 2020 | 25 | €11.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Yann M'Vila Premier Liga · 2017 | 27 | €7.5M | €10.0M | rose |
| Pierre Lees-Melou Ligue 1 · 2021 | 28 | €7.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| André André Liga Portugal · 2016 | 27 | €8.5M | €3.5M | fell |
| Miguel Veloso Premier Liga · 2014 | 28 | €9.0M | €7.5M | flat |
| Adam Maher Eredivisie · 2021 | 28 | €4.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Bryan Heynen Jupiler Pro League · 2024 | 27 | €10.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Renato Neto Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 26 | €5.0M | €1.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | R Charleroi SC | Genk | €3.0M | €3.0M |
| 3 Jul 2022 | Venezia | R Charleroi SC | Unknown | €1.2M |
| 2 Jul 2022 | R Charleroi SC | Venezia | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 27 Jan 2022 | Venezia | R Charleroi SC | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Waasland-Beveren | Venezia | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Lommel SK | Waasland-Beveren | Free / loan | €350k |
| 15 Jan 2019 | Waasland-Beveren | Lommel SK | Free / loan | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | KVC Westerlo | Waasland-Beveren | Unknown | €400k |
| 13 Jul 2016 | Westerlo U19 | KVC Westerlo | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Westerlo U17 | Westerlo U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2015 | Westerlo Yth. | Westerlo U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.