Daan Heymans

27 yrs · Attacking midfielder (also CM) · Belgium
KRC Genk · Jupiler Pro League · Foot: right · Height: 191 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€6.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€2.9M – €7.1M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€3.6M – €7.5M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€2.5M – €6.2M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€3.5M – €4.5M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€2.9M – €7.1M
Model value (performance-implied)€3.6M – €7.5M
Projected value (24 months)€2.5M – €6.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Daan Heymans's performance-implied value at EUR 3.6M-7.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.9M-7.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.5M-6.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.18x the positional average in the league (1649 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 28

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average69th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral27 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €5.2M vs market €6.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-28% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.65
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €6.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1649 (61% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.66
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.48
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
69 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.65 (rank 6)
Team strength (Elo)
1471
Opponent strength
1367
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€2.5M – €6.2M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 32 pts; changed club; team strength up (+157 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -56% to -19%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1649 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
60 (MID)
Relative output kept
63%–142%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
72%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueAM22164961%840.650.48136714710.65
2024/25Royal Charleroi Sporting ClubJupiler Pro LeagueAM29251893%1110.430.53138313150.63
2023/24Royal Charleroi Sporting ClubJupiler Pro LeagueAM29166762%120.160.29138512680.63
2022/23Royal Charleroi Sporting ClubJupiler Pro LeagueAM33170056%610.370.39131213480.58
2021/22Royal Charleroi Sporting ClubJupiler Pro LeagueAM1061420%210.440.38135413310.49
2021/22Venezia FCSerie ACM72537%010.360.29142612410.89
2020/21SK BeverenJupiler Pro LeagueAM30214270%840.500.57136011870.55
2019/20SK BeverenJupiler Pro LeagueAM52369%000.000.33129411870.63
2018/19SK BeverenJupiler Pro LeagueAM2562%000.000.38130712760.65
2016/17KVC WesterloJupiler Pro LeagueAM1201%000.000.38131912250.62

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueKRC Genk10810441445
2025/26Jupiler Pro League Europe Play OffsKRC Genk8608201336
2021/22Italy CupVenezia FC320910—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Tonny Vilhena
Premier Liga · 2020
25€11.0M€5.0Mfell
Yann M'Vila
Premier Liga · 2017
27€7.5M€10.0Mrose
Pierre Lees-Melou
Ligue 1 · 2021
28€7.0M€4.0Mfell
André André
Liga Portugal · 2016
27€8.5M€3.5Mfell
Miguel Veloso
Premier Liga · 2014
28€9.0M€7.5Mflat
Adam Maher
Eredivisie · 2021
28€4.0M€3.0Mfell
Bryan Heynen
Jupiler Pro League · 2024
27€10.0M€8.0Mfell
Renato Neto
Jupiler Pro League · 2017
26€5.0M€1.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2025R Charleroi SCGenk€3.0M€3.0M
3 Jul 2022VeneziaR Charleroi SCUnknown€1.2M
2 Jul 2022R Charleroi SCVeneziaFree / loan€1.2M
27 Jan 2022VeneziaR Charleroi SCFree / loan€1.0M
1 Jul 2021Waasland-BeverenVeneziaFree / loan€1.0M
30 Jun 2019Lommel SKWaasland-BeverenFree / loan€350k
15 Jan 2019Waasland-BeverenLommel SKFree / loan€350k
1 Jul 2018KVC WesterloWaasland-BeverenUnknown€400k
13 Jul 2016Westerlo U19KVC WesterloUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Westerlo U17Westerlo U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2015Westerlo Yth.Westerlo U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.