
Bryan Heynen
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Bryan Heynen's performance-implied value at EUR 3.4M-9.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.0M-7.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.6M-6.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.67x the positional average in the league (2592 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 30
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 75.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €4.7M vs market €8.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -50% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2592 (96% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.17
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.15
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 75 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1471
- Opponent strength
- 1358
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.6M – €6.1M
Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-64 Elo); relative output up 41% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -48% (IQR -63% to -18%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 29 | 2592 | 96% | 4 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.15 | 1358 | 1471 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 28 | 2352 | 87% | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 1379 | 1535 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 25 | 2120 | 79% | 6 | 3 | 0.38 | 0.26 | 1388 | 1459 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 33 | 2784 | 91% | 10 | 5 | 0.48 | 0.30 | 1303 | 1495 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 32 | 2629 | 86% | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 1340 | 1356 | 0.49 |
| 2020/21 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 24 | 1921 | 63% | 2 | 4 | 0.28 | 0.20 | 1348 | 1414 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 14 | 963 | 37% | 1 | 3 | 0.37 | 0.22 | 1407 | 1429 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 25 | 1762 | 65% | 2 | 3 | 0.26 | 0.14 | 1359 | 1557 | 0.65 |
| 2017/18 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 10 | 434 | 16% | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | 0.14 | 1362 | 1445 | 0.63 |
| 2016/17 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 22 | 1373 | 51% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 1339 | 1500 | 0.62 |
| 2015/16 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 10 | 494 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1334 | 1400 | 0.57 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | KRC Genk | 12 | 1110 | 1 | 2 | 1458 |
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | KRC Genk | 10 | 891 | 0 | 0 | 1341 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | KRC Genk | 2 | 101 | 1 | 0 | 1426 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | KRC Genk | 2 | 76 | 0 | 0 | 1464 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | KRC Genk | 1 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 1399 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | KRC Genk | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | 1606 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | KRC Genk | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1554 |
| 2021/22 | Volkswagen Supercup | KRC Genk | 1 | 59 | 0 | 1 | 1570 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | KRC Genk | 4 | 266 | 0 | 1 | 1845 |
| 2019/20 | Volkswagen Supercup | KRC Genk | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1301 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | KRC Genk | 6 | 327 | 0 | 1 | 1503 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | KRC Genk | 1 | 66 | 1 | 0 | 1308 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | KRC Genk | 7 | 291 | 1 | 0 | 1473 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | KRC Genk | 6 | 290 | 0 | 0 | 1403 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Esgaio Liga Portugal · 2021 | 28 | €6.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Mahmut Tekdemir Super Lig · 2016 | 28 | €4.3M | €2.0M | fell |
| Hans Vanaken Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 31 | €10.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Yuriy Gazinskiy Premier Liga · 2018 | 29 | €5.2M | €7.0M | rose |
| Mehmet Topal Super Lig · 2016 | 30 | €10.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Gojko Cimirot Jupiler Pro League · 2020 | 28 | €4.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Souza Super Lig · 2017 | 28 | €8.0M | €12.0M | rose |
| Casper Nielsen Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 29 | €6.5M | €2.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2015 | KRC Genk U19 | Genk | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | KRC Genk U17 | KRC Genk U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | KRC Genk Youth | KRC Genk U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.