Bryan Heynen

29 yrs · Central midfielder (also DM) · Belgium
KRC Genk · Jupiler Pro League · Foot: right · Height: 184 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€8.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€3.0M – €7.3M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€3.4M – €9.5M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€2.6M – €6.1M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€3.9M – €6.5M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€3.0M – €7.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€3.4M – €9.5M
Projected value (24 months)€2.6M – €6.1M
Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Bryan Heynen's performance-implied value at EUR 3.4M-9.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.0M-7.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.6M-6.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.67x the positional average in the league (2592 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 30

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh75.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable29.4 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €4.7M vs market €8.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-50% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.65
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €12.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2592 (96% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.17
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.15
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
75 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.65 (rank 6)
Team strength (Elo)
1471
Opponent strength
1358
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€2.6M – €6.1M

Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-64 Elo); relative output up 41% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -48% (IQR -63% to -18%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
60 (MID)
Relative output kept
63%–142%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
72%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueCM29259296%410.170.15135814710.65
2024/25KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueCM28235287%020.080.10137915350.63
2023/24KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueCM25212079%630.380.26138814590.63
2022/23KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueCM33278491%1050.480.30130314950.58
2021/22KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueCM32262986%500.170.19134013560.49
2020/21KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueCM24192163%240.280.20134814140.55
2019/20KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueCM1496337%130.370.22140714290.63
2018/19KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueDM25176265%230.260.14135915570.65
2017/18KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueCM1043416%010.210.14136214450.63
2016/17KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueCM22137351%010.070.10133915000.62
2015/16KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueCM1049418%000.000.09133414000.57

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueKRC Genk121110121458
2025/26Jupiler Pro League Europe Play OffsKRC Genk10891001341
2025/26Uefa Europa League QualifyingKRC Genk2101101426
2023/24Uefa Champions League QualifyingKRC Genk276001464
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingKRC Genk152001399
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueKRC Genk5450001606
2021/22Uefa Champions League QualifyingKRC Genk2180001554
2021/22Volkswagen SupercupKRC Genk159011570
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueKRC Genk4266011845
2019/20Volkswagen SupercupKRC Genk190011301
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueKRC Genk6327011503
2018/19Uefa Europa League QualifyingKRC Genk166101308
2016/17Uefa Europa LeagueKRC Genk7291101473
2016/17Uefa Europa League QualifyingKRC Genk6290001403

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Ricardo Esgaio
Liga Portugal · 2021
28€6.0M€3.5Mfell
Mahmut Tekdemir
Super Lig · 2016
28€4.3M€2.0Mfell
Hans Vanaken
Jupiler Pro League · 2023
31€10.0M€7.0Mfell
Yuriy Gazinskiy
Premier Liga · 2018
29€5.2M€7.0Mrose
Mehmet Topal
Super Lig · 2016
30€10.0M€2.5Mfell
Gojko Cimirot
Jupiler Pro League · 2020
28€4.5M€1.5Mfell
Souza
Super Lig · 2017
28€8.0M€12.0Mrose
Casper Nielsen
Jupiler Pro League · 2023
29€6.5M€2.5Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2015KRC Genk U19GenkUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2014KRC Genk U17KRC Genk U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2013KRC Genk YouthKRC Genk U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.