Magnus Jensen
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Magnus Jensen's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-0.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 84
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 15.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €404k vs market €700k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -16% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1980 (100% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.09
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 15 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1242
- Opponent strength
- 1274
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €409k – €633k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 22 pts; changed club; team strength up (+117 Elo); league level up (+45 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -22% (IQR -46% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 24 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 60%–139%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 71%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Sönderjyske Fodbold | Superliga | CB | 22 | 1980 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 1274 | 1242 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | Lyngby Boldklub | Superliga | CB | 19 | 1537 | 78% | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 1337 | 1126 | 0.38 |
| 2023/24 | Lyngby Boldklub | Superliga | CB | 19 | 1323 | 67% | 1 | 2 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 1285 | 1179 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | AC Horsens | Superliga | CB | 17 | 1486 | 75% | 3 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.15 | 1302 | 1157 | 0.47 |
| 2020/21 | AC Horsens | Superliga | CB | 9 | 59 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1336 | 1121 | 0.43 |
| 2019/20 | AC Horsens | Superliga | CB | 2 | 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1472 | 1205 | 0.41 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | Sönderjyske Fodbold | 2 | 180 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Oddset Pokalen | Lyngby Boldklub | 4 | 251 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Oddset Pokalen | AC Horsens | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Oddset Pokalen | Skive IK | 3 | 175 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Gregor Superliga · 2024 | 30 | €400k | €350k | flat |
| Athanasios Moulopoulos Super League 1 · 2014 | 29 | €500k | €350k | fell |
| Alexios Michail Super League 1 · 2017 | 31 | €600k | €300k | fell |
| Syam Ben Youssef Super Lig · 2019 | 30 | €900k | €500k | fell |
| Michalis Boukouvalas Super League 1 · 2016 | 28 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Frédéric Brillant Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 29 | €600k | €650k | flat |
| Erik Marxen Superliga · 2020 | 30 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Jorge Casado Super League 1 · 2019 | 30 | €500k | €200k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Lyngby BK | Sönderjyske | €400k | €550k |
| 13 Jul 2023 | AC Horsens | Lyngby BK | €300k | €400k |
| 1 Jan 2020 | Skive IK | AC Horsens | Unknown | €200k |
| 21 Jul 2016 | Viborg FF II | Skive IK | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | FK Viborg U19 | Viborg FF II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Viborg FF Youth | FK Viborg U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.