Javi Galán
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Javi Galán's performance-implied value at EUR 2.2M-4.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-1.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 25
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 79.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.1M vs market €1.8M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -51% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1807 (53% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.05
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 80 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1441
- Opponent strength
- 1485
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €461k – €1.3M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-214 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -57% (IQR -66% to -40%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | LB | 20 | 1675 | 49% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.10 | 1485 | 1427 | 0.95 |
| 2025/26 | Atlético de Madrid | Laliga | LB | 5 | 132 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1466 | 1619 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Atlético de Madrid | Laliga | LB | 25 | 1781 | 52% | 0 | 3 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 1487 | 1655 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | LB | 14 | 1075 | 31% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 1461 | 1588 | 1.00 |
| 2023/24 | Atlético de Madrid | Laliga | LM | 5 | 84 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1451 | 1667 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | Celta de Vigo | Laliga | LB | 37 | 3162 | 92% | 0 | 3 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 1515 | 1441 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Celta de Vigo | Laliga | LB | 37 | 3300 | 96% | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 1530 | 1499 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | SD Huesca | Laliga | LB | 37 | 3068 | 90% | 1 | 2 | 0.09 | 0.14 | 1559 | 1418 | 1.10 |
| 2018/19 | SD Huesca | Laliga | LB | 16 | 1440 | 42% | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 0.18 | 1548 | 1410 | 1.14 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Atlético de Madrid | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Atlético de Madrid | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1807 |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 1 | 57 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Atlético de Madrid | 6 | 452 | 0 | 1 | 1622 |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Atlético de Madrid | 6 | 386 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Real Sociedad | 2 | 178 | 0 | 0 | 1742 |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Atlético de Madrid | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Atlético de Madrid | 2 | 73 | 0 | 0 | 1611 |
| 2023/24 | Supercopa | Atlético de Madrid | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1810 |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Celta de Vigo | 3 | 209 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | Celta de Vigo | 2 | 79 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Copa Del Rey | Córdoba CF | 2 | 180 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Cruz Laliga · 2024 | 32 | €2.2M | €1.0M | fell |
| Lukas Kübler Bundesliga · 2024 | 32 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Dusan Andjelkovic Premier Liga · 2013 | 31 | €1.5M | €600k | fell |
| Hugo Mallo Laliga · 2023 | 32 | €3.0M | €800k | fell |
| Rudy Mater Ligue 1 · 2013 | 33 | €1.3M | €750k | fell |
| Bartosz Bereszyński Serie A · 2024 | 32 | €1.3M | €400k | fell |
| Jan Durica Premier Liga · 2013 | 32 | €2.0M | €700k | fell |
| Clemens Fritz Bundesliga · 2013 | 33 | €1.3M | €750k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2026 | Atlético | CA Osasuna | €500k | €3.5M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Real Sociedad | Atlético | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 24 Jan 2024 | Atlético | Real Sociedad | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 3 Jul 2023 | Celta de Vigo | Atlético | €5.0M | €12.0M |
| 31 Jul 2021 | SD Huesca | Celta de Vigo | €4.0M | €6.0M |
| 29 Jan 2019 | Córdoba CF | SD Huesca | €1.0M | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Córdoba CF B | Córdoba CF | Unknown | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | CD Badajoz | Córdoba CF B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Fl. Negra S19 | Badajoz | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | CP Don Bosco | Fl. Negra S19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.