Ross Sykes
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ross Sykes's performance-implied value at EUR 2.6M-11.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.8M-4.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.1M-5.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 84
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 66.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €2.4M vs market €4.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -23% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1813 (67% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.20
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 67 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1570
- Opponent strength
- 1354
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.1M – €5.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 29 pts; relative output down 30% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -38% (IQR -53% to -13%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Union Saint-Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 23 | 1813 | 67% | 3 | 1 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 1354 | 1570 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Union Saint-Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 15 | 1017 | 38% | 2 | 1 | 0.27 | 0.13 | 1357 | 1545 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Union Saint-Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 16 | 1265 | 47% | 4 | 0 | 0.28 | 0.14 | 1347 | 1589 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Union Saint-Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 18 | 1084 | 35% | 2 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.11 | 1275 | 1571 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Playoff I | Union Saint-Gilloise | 9 | 809 | 2 | 0 | 1443 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Union Saint-Gilloise | 6 | 384 | 1 | 0 | 1688 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 463 | 1 | 0 | 1516 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Union Saint-Gilloise | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1802 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Union Saint-Gilloise | 2 | 173 | 0 | 0 | 1611 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Union Saint-Gilloise | 3 | 92 | 0 | 0 | 1615 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezequiel Schelotto Liga Portugal · 2017 | 28 | €4.5M | €3.0M | fell |
| Hasan Ali Kaldırım Super Lig · 2016 | 27 | €4.3M | €3.3M | fell |
| Domagoj Vida Premier Liga · 2015 | 26 | €7.0M | €9.0M | rose |
| Ivan Obradovic Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 29 | €3.0M | €800k | fell |
| Dennis Appiah Jupiler Pro League · 2018 | 26 | €2.5M | €1.4M | fell |
| Şener Özbayraklı Super Lig · 2017 | 27 | €3.5M | €500k | fell |
| Borna Barisic Scottish Premiership · 2020 | 28 | €2.4M | €6.0M | rose |
| Ruben Aguilar Ligue 1 · 2021 | 28 | €12.0M | €7.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2022 | Accrington | Union SG | €280k | Data unavailable |
| 24 Nov 2017 | Southport | Accrington | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 5 Oct 2017 | Accrington | Southport | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Accrington U18 | Accrington | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.