András Schäfer

27 yrs · Central midfielder · Hungary
1.FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga · Foot: right · Height: 178 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€4.5M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€1.4M – €3.9M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€2.4M – €4.8M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.7M – €4.5M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.5M – €3.4M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1.4M – €3.9M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.4M – €4.8M
Projected value (24 months)€1.7M – €4.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€4.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates András Schäfer's performance-implied value at EUR 2.4M-4.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.4M-3.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.7M-4.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.95x the positional average in the league (1419 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 76

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage54.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral27.2 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €1.9M vs market €4.5M
Expected appreciationVery low-36% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.94
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €5.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1419 (46% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.19
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.21
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
55 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.94 (rank 3)
Team strength (Elo)
1392
Opponent strength
1501
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.7M – €4.5M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -5% (IQR -30% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1419 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/261.FC Union BerlinBundesligaCM28141946%210.190.21150113920.94
2024/251.FC Union BerlinBundesligaCM26153750%110.120.19152413940.94
2023/241.FC Union BerlinBundesligaCM20121940%120.220.22150614311.01
2022/231.FC Union BerlinBundesligaCM1686228%000.000.09155015871.04
2021/221.FC Union BerlinBundesligaCM82328%110.780.39161215681.05

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Dfb Pokal1.FC Union Berlin323400—
2024/25Dfb Pokal1.FC Union Berlin210900—
2022/23Uefa Europa League1.FC Union Berlin5215001534
2022/23Dfb Pokal1.FC Union Berlin212301—
2021/22Uefa Conference League QualifyingDAC Dunajska Streda2180001515
2021/22Dfb Pokal1.FC Union Berlin12600—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Georgios Kyriakopoulos
Serie A · 2024
28€3.5M€2.0Mfell
Adrian Mierzejewski
Super Lig · 2013
27€5.5M€5.0Mflat
Aarón Martín
Serie A · 2024
27€5.0M€5.0Mflat
Rémi Oudin
Serie A · 2024
28€3.5M€3.5Mflat
João Pedro
Serie A · 2018
26€5.0M€12.0Mrose
Álvaro Aguado
Laliga · 2023
27€3.0M€3.0Mflat
Mërgim Vojvoda
Serie A · 2023
28€4.0M€3.0Mfell
Suat Serdar
Serie A · 2024
27€5.0M€2.8Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
21 Jan 2022Dunajska StredaUnion Berlin€1.0M€1.6M
9 Sept 2020GenoaDunajska StredaUnknown€400k
31 Aug 2020Dunajska StredaGenoaFree / loan€400k
30 Jan 2020GenoaDunajska StredaFree / loan€400k
16 Jan 2020Chievo VeronaGenoaFree / loan€400k
21 Aug 2019GenoaChievo VeronaFree / loan€400k
25 Jan 2019MTK BudapestGenoa€1.0M€400k
1 Jan 2017MTK U19MTK BudapestUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2016MTK U17MTK U19UnknownData unavailable
15 Aug 2014Haladás Yth.MTK Yth.Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2014MTK Yth.MTK U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.