Kevin Trapp
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Kevin Trapp's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-1.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-2.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | High | 82.4th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 36 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.3M vs market €1.8M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -55% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1980 (65% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 82 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1454
- Opponent strength
- 1499
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €530k – €1.1M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-120 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -55% (IQR -65% to -15%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Age 36: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Paris FC | Ligue 1 | GK | 22 | 1980 | 65% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1499 | 1454 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | GK | 26 | 2295 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1511 | 1574 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | GK | 32 | 2880 | 94% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1526 | 1498 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | GK | 33 | 2970 | 97% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1517 | 1541 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | GK | 32 | 2880 | 94% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1518 | 1594 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | GK | 33 | 2970 | 97% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1532 | 1602 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | GK | 22 | 1980 | 65% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1537 | 1535 | 1.06 |
| 2018/19 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | GK | 33 | 2938 | 96% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1504 | 1593 | 1.05 |
| 2017/18 | Paris Saint-Germain | Ligue 1 | GK | 4 | 360 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1382 | 1774 | 0.85 |
| 2016/17 | Paris Saint-Germain | Ligue 1 | GK | 24 | 2124 | 62% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1403 | 1757 | 0.88 |
| 2015/16 | Paris Saint-Germain | Ligue 1 | GK | 35 | 3105 | 91% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1425 | 1748 | 0.78 |
| 2014/15 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | GK | 22 | 1980 | 65% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1537 | 1476 | 1.03 |
| 2013/14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | GK | 34 | 3047 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1550 | 1485 | 1.03 |
| 2012/13 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | GK | 26 | 2340 | 76% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1440 | 1539 | 1.11 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 630 | 0 | 0 | 1531 |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1375 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 720 | 0 | 0 | 1680 |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Super Cup | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1829 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 13 | 1230 | 0 | 0 | 1559 |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | 1680 |
| 2019/20 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 1401 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 12 | 1110 | 0 | 0 | 1620 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1895 |
| 2016/17 | Trophee Des Champions | Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1533 |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain | 10 | 900 | 0 | 0 | 1670 |
| 2015/16 | Trophee Des Champions | Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1581 |
| 2014/15 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 630 | 0 | 0 | 1518 |
| 2013/14 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1452 |
| 2012/13 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andriy Dykan Premier Liga · 2013 | 36 | €1.0M | €250k | fell |
| Steve Mandanda Ligue 1 · 2019 | 34 | €2.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Vicente Guaita Laliga · 2024 | 37 | €800k | €400k | fell |
| Fabien Audard Ligue 1 · 2014 | 36 | €850k | €250k | fell |
| Jordi Masip Laliga · 2023 | 34 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Antonio Mirante Serie A · 2017 | 34 | €2.0M | €800k | fell |
| Mickaël Landreau Ligue 1 · 2014 | 35 | €1.8M | €1.8M | flat |
| Tim Howard Premier League · 2016 | 37 | €2.0M | €750k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2025 | Frankfurt | Paris FC | €1.0M | €2.5M |
| 7 Aug 2019 | PSG | Frankfurt | €7.0M | €10.0M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Frankfurt | PSG | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 31 Aug 2018 | PSG | Frankfurt | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 8 Jul 2015 | Frankfurt | PSG | €9.5M | €8.0M |
| 1 Jul 2012 | 1.FC K'lautern | Frankfurt | €1.5M | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2008 | K'lautern U19 | 1.FC K'lautern | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2007 | K'lautern U17 | K'lautern U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2005 | Mettlach Yth. | K'lautern U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2003 | SSV Bachem Yth. | Mettlach Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2000 | Brotdorf Yth. | SSV Bachem Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.