Gabriel Strefezza

The model rates Gabriel Strefezza's performance-implied value at EUR 3.0M-8.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.7M-6.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.7M-4.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.89x the positional average in the league (1649 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1649 (48% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.33

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.62

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

68 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.93 (rank 16)

Team strength (Elo)

1442

Opponent strength

1497

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€1.7M – €4.7M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 29 pts; changed club; league level down (-99 Elo); role change RW -> SS; relative output down 26% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -65% to -11%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 1649 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.