Loïc Mbe Soh
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Loïc Mbe Soh's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-1.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-3.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-3.1M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 33.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.7M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -26% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 625 (23% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.14
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.09
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 34 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1401
- Opponent strength
- 1370
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €776k – €3.1M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 50 pts; changed club; team strength up (+257 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -13% (IQR -40% to +23%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 625 league minutes last season.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Sint-Truidense VV | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 8 | 625 | 23% | 1 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.09 | 1370 | 1401 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Beerschot VA | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 22 | 1967 | 73% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 1403 | 1144 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Almere City FC | Eredivisie | CB | 20 | 1254 | 41% | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 1390 | 1179 | 0.48 |
| 2019/20 | Paris Saint-Germain | Ligue 1 | RB | 1 | 59 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1429 | 1779 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Paris Saint-Germain | Ligue 1 | CB | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1331 | 1714 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Angers SCO | Ligue 1 | CB | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1750 | 1409 | 0.82 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Playoff I | Sint-Truidense VV | 6 | 290 | 1 | 0 | 1443 |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | Almere City FC | 2 | 81 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Nottingham Forest | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Appiah Jupiler Pro League · 2019 | 27 | €1.5M | €1.8M | rose |
| Ânderson Luís Liga Portugal · 2014 | 26 | €1.7M | €1.5M | flat |
| Elias Cobbaut Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 24 | €3.5M | €2.2M | fell |
| Ricardo Ferreira Liga Portugal · 2017 | 25 | €1.5M | €700k | fell |
| Jakub Brabec Jupiler Pro League · 2018 | 26 | €1.8M | €2.4M | rose |
| Egor Sorokin Premier Liga · 2023 | 28 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Lamine Koné Ligue 1 · 2014 | 25 | €2.3M | €5.0M | rose |
| Jubal Liga Portugal · 2019 | 26 | €700k | €600k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 | Beerschot VA | Sint-Truiden | €500k | €1.5M |
| 26 Aug 2024 | Nott'm Forest | Beerschot VA | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Almere City | Nott'm Forest | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 1 Sept 2023 | Nott'm Forest | Almere City | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Guingamp | Nott'm Forest | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 23 Jan 2023 | Nott'm Forest | Guingamp | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 11 Sept 2020 | Paris SG B | Nott'm Forest | €5.0M | €4.5M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Paris SG U19 | Paris SG B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Paris SG U17 | Paris SG U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | PSG Youth | Paris SG U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.