Mardochée Nzita
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mardochée Nzita's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-1.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 31
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 28.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.2M vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -31% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2153 (80% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.04
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 28 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1307
- Opponent strength
- 1385
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €579k – €1.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 59 pts; relative output down 56% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +37% (IQR -20% to +69%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | LB | 28 | 2153 | 80% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 1385 | 1307 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | LB | 14 | 556 | 21% | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 1380 | 1315 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | 10 | 854 | 0 | 1 | 1377 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | 2 | 191 | 0 | 0 | 1342 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stelios Kitsiou Jupiler Pro League · 2018 | 25 | €1.0M | €800k | fell |
| Adama François Liga Portugal · 2015 | 26 | €900k | €600k | fell |
| Tiago Pinto Liga Portugal · 2015 | 27 | €1.8M | €3.0M | rose |
| Mikhail Merkulov Premier Liga · 2018 | 24 | €900k | €1.2M | rose |
| Enea Mihaj Liga Portugal · 2023 | 25 | €1.5M | €4.0M | rose |
| Miroslav Bogosavac Premier Liga · 2021 | 25 | €2.0M | €3.5M | rose |
| Falaye Sacko Liga Portugal · 2019 | 24 | €2.5M | €3.5M | rose |
| Nadjack Liga Portugal · 2019 | 25 | €600k | €475k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Beerschot VA | R Charleroi SC | €600k | €900k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Pescara | Beerschot VA | €100k | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Perugia | Pescara | €750k | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Pescara | Perugia | Free / loan | €400k |
| 5 Oct 2020 | Perugia | Pescara | Free / loan | €300k |
| 17 Jul 2019 | Anderlecht U21 | Perugia | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Anderlecht U19 | Anderlecht U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Anderlecht U17 | Anderlecht U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Anderlecht Yth. | Anderlecht U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.